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Nov. 10, 2023

UFC 295 parlay super show fight breakdowns & prop bets

UFC 295 parlay super show fight breakdowns & prop bets

Ready to elevate your understanding of the UFC line-up and make more informed betting decisions? Buckle up, as we unpack the electric vibe of the UFC 295 Parley Super Show main card. Starting with Diego Lopes vs. Pat Sabatini, we dig deep into their records, unravel their unique strengths, and speculate on the outcome. We're leaning towards Lopez taking the win. Want to place your bets wisely? We've got the inside track on some prop bets and betting strategies.

We're shaking things up with a deep dive into the much-awaited brawl between Jessica Andrade and Mckenzie Dern. By dissecting their records and fighting styles, we attempt to forecast the match's direction. Jessica could stun us all with a knockout, but we're certain she'll need to clinch a finish. But that's not all, Sergei Pavlovich and Tom Aspinall are also stepping into the co-main event.

As we approach the end, the focus turns towards the intriguing style of Jiri and Alex's seasoned striking game. Glover Texeira's past experiences and Jiri's unconventional training methods could hold the key to their strategies. Whether you're a UFC enthusiast or a betting aficionado, arm yourself with our in-depth analysis, and you might just find yourself with the upper hand in your next wager!

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Transcript
Speaker 1:

Hey, welcome to special edition of Chinggatsu's combat crew UFC 295 Parley Super Show. It's the primo edition. That's my cousin right there. We're ready to knock this out. We got all the stats you need to fill out your parley card and plus I have like 50 slides of fan duel prop bets. They fan duel lost their freaking mind on this. Cuz, cannot wait to see you on a bet. Who's gonna break a sweat first, who's gonna blink first, who's gonna fart first? I bet you it's on this prop somewhere. All right, let's look over the card real quick, cuz we're only talking the main card here. So it looks like the main card is gonna be opened up with being opened up with Diego Lopez taking on Pat Sabatini, followed up by Matt Esteem, rolla Frivola taking on Benoit Sandinis, jessica Andraj taking on McKenzie Dern, sergei Pavlovich taking on Tony Tom Aspinall and, main event, yuri Projaska taking on our boy, alex Pereira. All right, cuz, opening bout of the pay-per-view is gonna be Diego Lopez taking on Pat Sabatini. I don't have their records on the screen.

Speaker 2:

But Diego Lopez is 22 and 6 and 0. There we go yeah. Pat Sabatini is 18-4 and 0.

Speaker 1:

All right, actually I do have them on the screen. I think these are the only two guys these records I do have, so if you can supply the people out there watching and listening thank you everybody for tuning in, by the way, with that fight with their records, cuz that would be some pertinent information. So again, diego Lopez coming in with a 22 and 6 record. So he ain't no new kid on the block, but neither is Pat Sabatini with a record of 18 and 4. So I only have their records from the UFC. And since this is Diego Lopez is only his third fight. He's only got two previously. So his previous fight to this was against Tucker and then before that he took on Ivalov, which he ended up losing by decision. But his last fight he got that quick sub round one Remember that nasty inverted triangle that he or actually started with the triangle but ended, I think, with arm bar. Looking at Pat Sabatini, pat has an extensive history in the UFC, last fighting Almeida, jackson, laramie, lutz and Emerson, and it looks like he is on a current. Let's see 1, 2, 3. Oh actually, no, he lost he won his lap by Jackson.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, he lost to.

Speaker 1:

Jackson, but before that he was on a 1, 2, 3 fight winning streak. So he last lost to Jackson by TKO in round one, all right cuz. So, and if you look at Pat Sabatini's resume, it's not very. There's no fight that really stands out. That's like oh yeah, that was a test that proves he's ready. I don't know, man, I don't know. I mean and look, I know again, diego Lopes' record in the UFC is very, very short, but that first win or that first fight that he got in the UFC came on short notice against a ranked opponent and he withstood the fire dude. He wasn't there to just take an ass whooping Cuz, he dished it out. I remember.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, yeah, I don't you know. With these two guys, I feel like they're gonna be pretty evenly matched. As far as you know, it seems like both of them are into the ground game more than the striking overall.

Speaker 1:

So I think that they're both better grapplers, for sure, yeah.

Speaker 2:

But I think that Sabini's gonna have an issue with just a little bit more than Diego has standing up, cuz, I believe. If I remember right, diego has a little bit of stand up in his game. It's majority ground, but I believe he has a little bit of stand up and that might be enough because it seems like Pat has an issue.

Speaker 1:

Pat's got. No hands, he's got no stand up game. He's all ground and for the most part, I would say that Diego Lopes is also a ground fighter. But remember he's evil or against what did he fight? Evil of the actual. It's fire against evil off. Where he was winning the fight was on the feet, and Pat Sabatini is nowhere near the Polish fighter. That evil off is yeah. So I would say that Diego is probably a more well rounded fighter in this. I would even beg, I would even go with for sure I'm going Diego Lopes in this.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, yeah, yeah, I would say, diego is doing this, and I'm here saying he's gonna. Yeah, I'm saying he, I think he was, he's gonna win. I think, if anything, if all else fails, it packing at least Stan, maybe the first round. I'm thinking this is gonna be a submission ended fight, not a knockout, but you never know, yeah, you never know, man, but I would say I would, I would.

Speaker 1:

I would say that Diego might be able to set up a submission with his strikes Mm-hmm, you know. Yeah, knock him down and follow him up and while he's days, sink something in. So I wouldn't be surprised and Diego lobes by submission at plus 370. That looks pretty good, dude, mm-hmm. And then if you're willing to pick the round that he's gonna win it, look at that.

Speaker 2:

Yeah.

Speaker 1:

I'm 70 in in round one plus 700 in round two and that's kind of where I would be leaning on. I might I might play that submission and round two, or maybe Let me see over under check that out. Oh over two and a half rounds plus 120. I don't know about that. I think it might go under. I think it's gonna end under, but a method and round combo, check that out. Diego lobes submission round one plus 900. Diego lobes submission round two plus 13.

Speaker 2:

Look at that. Look at that Pat Sambini submission and round three 1500 or Diego.

Speaker 1:

Lopez.

Speaker 2:

TKO round three 2100.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, there's a lot of big numbers here let's see nothing big here on this page. Look at this page, pat Sabatini, by KO TKO, round two or round three three plus 2500. Yeah, I don't that's possible, but I. Yeah, all right, so we're both going, diego Lopez.

Speaker 2:

Submission sure.

Speaker 1:

And I'm probably gonna play the under, definitely on that one. So let's move on to the next scrap, next scrap, dude, I'm really, really looking forward to this man. Yeah, matt steamroller Favola taking on. Benoit San Denise, I can't believe. I mean, I Guess I can believe that San Denise isn't ranked yet, but he's knocking on that door cuz yeah, knocking on the door and whoever wins this fight has a straight shot at a fight Against a top-tenk opponent. That's what's gonna be next. Yeah, this is just the entry way into the ranked, ranked fighters at the lightweight division. So do you have for happen to have for volas record?

Speaker 2:

Yes, so Matt is 11, 3 and 1 and yeah and. He is 12 1 and 0 with one, no contest.

Speaker 1:

Okay, so they're pretty close in record to each other, all right, so let's check out, actually, that's, that's, let's look at their records, actually. Yeah, so on the screen now we're looking at Matt for volas record in the UFC and he currently has two, four, six, eight, ten fights in the UFC, most recently taking a TKO win over, getting a TKO win over Drew Dober. You know me and I remember he was taking a couple of shots and then he just turned the tables on.

Speaker 2:

Yep right around Mm-hmm.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, before. So actually, if you look at dude, look at Matt, for volas last three fights, mm-hmm, ko, tko, ko, tko, ko, tko. All Round one. Unfortunately, before that he was on a two-fight losing streak, but that was against T-Rex and our monster rookie and bro. Those are freaking killers, man and the and the McKinney fight fluke. If you look at it. He got KO'd in the first round seven seconds into it, dude. So yeah, I mean I'm not saying that's a fluke, you know what I mean, but that's yeah, that's not gonna happen all the time.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, right, yeah, definitely gonna be a standout game for him, for sure we're still drinking the prime one of these days.

Speaker 1:

Let's get that backing that sponsorship episode brought to you by prime green flavor. I Do like that, for volas resume is against Upper echelon fighters, like he's been tested, yeah, but I mean I know he's got a lot of first-round finishes but he does have some three-round fights.

Speaker 2:

He did have a couple three rounds with Jaylin Turner.

Speaker 1:

He did go three rounds with I can't remember the big yeah with pen. I can't remember Ben us first name, but he's been through the fire man, so let's let's look at son Denise's record. Son Denise hasn't fought as much in the UFC. Yeah, matt Bravola, most recently getting a TKO win over a tiago moises, and that's a nice, nice win to have on your on your belt, man before that. I believe that he beat I think this was Ishmael boom theme and then before that somebody named Miranda, before that Stolzi, and then before that he took an L a Decision, unanimous decision loss to somebody named Los Santos. But since then he's been on a one, two, three, four fight. When he four fight, winnie Street all finishes one, two subs and to take two TKO's. So I do. I mean, I haven't watched too much of son Denise, but from what I've seen he's a super, a duper aggressive fighter.

Speaker 2:

Super seems to be a little well rounded as well.

Speaker 1:

Seems to be like a bully, like I'm not saying he doesn't have any technique. But, he just seems to overwhelm His opponents. Yeah, and I don't know if he's gonna be able to do that against Matt dude.

Speaker 2:

I don't know. Yeah, I feel like they're both kind of that same type of fighter. They're both gonna go in there and start throwing. Yes, the pace, yes, from the get-go.

Speaker 1:

Yeah so I want to like there. I feel like their skill set. They're pretty evenly matching their skill set. So it's gonna go down to like outside factors, like who had a better camp, who's got better coaching, who's gonna listen to their corner, who's not gonna let the crowd get into their head. You know what I mean, son for sure, son Denise is gonna get booed. This is in. This is in Madison Square Garden.

Speaker 2:

This is Matt for full his backyard.

Speaker 1:

So I would imagine that the crowd is gonna be behind him.

Speaker 2:

Is it have that energy.

Speaker 1:

That could also backfire. You know what I mean? He could get too pumped up and blow his all his energy in that first round Because he wants to impress the crowd and then son Denise just takes over from there. I don't know. Yeah, I don't think that's what's gonna happen. I'm taking a, I'm gonna go Steamroller TKO round two, maybe round three. This is gonna be a slobber knocker dude.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, I'm thinking. You know what? I thinking these two guys are gonna go the distance. I'm thinking it's gonna go to this shit, decision, decision who you got in your decision. Um, I Think that I'm gonna go with Matt almost sounded like oh for Vola.

Speaker 1:

Oh yeah, I almost thought you were gonna go with son Denise, but that's not. That wouldn't be very American of you.

Speaker 2:

Yes.

Speaker 1:

I know you were gonna do that. Yeah, yeah, I knew it, I knew it no.

Speaker 2:

French fries here.

Speaker 1:

All right, so let's look at the money line. The money is coming in heavy on. I'm son Denise, dude minus two forty five, and Matt for Vola at a plus one eighty six. Dude, I'm definitely gonna jump on that. Matt for Vola, underdog train. Yeah right, you lay down a hundred bucks, you're gonna almost double your months, almost a two-to-one, and it's not like Matt.

Speaker 2:

It's not like Matt's not gonna know this. I think maybe this might even energize him in the fight. Yeah, so you're saying like, oh, it's in Madison, score Got it, and that might be one on a show and everything. But I think this may balance it out, that he people and everyone think that he's not gonna win. So that might balance out the energy or he just gonna focus on what he needs to do.

Speaker 1:

Yes, I might be like upset, upset. Oh for sure, I see. Yeah, I see upset. So let's look at some props here. Let's see what looks good on this first round bedding Plus seventeen hundred Matt for Vola to win dude, that could totally pay out right there. I mean and, and that's, I mean just to win, that means submission, or Okay, oh, you know. I mean yeah, and look at round two Plus one thousand for Matt. I'm gonna, I'm probably gonna play both of them. Right you know, let's see what else looks good here. Matt for Vola KO TKO. Round three plus twenty two hundred. Look at Matt, round two Matt row yeah, plus thirty nine hundred. Submission right, yeah, 1200 KO TKO. But look, even though sound Denise is a, is a is the heavy favorite. There's money to be made here. Dude, like, if he wins, I don't think he's gonna sub for for a voli. I think this is gonna be like whoever goes out first? Yeah, somebody is gonna get knocked out and look round, one plus 350. I think it's gonna be 1800. It's pretty good, yeah, um, over under plus 102, that it's gonna go over one and a half rounds I would bet on that? Yeah, I definitely think it's gonna go over, yeah, yeah, seven and a half minutes of fight. Oh, we need a seven minutes 31 seconds and you cash in on that one, You're right, I want.

Speaker 2:

it might be a given.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, that might be an easy bet right there. Yeah, definitely.

Speaker 2:

So you have a kid or a girlfriend who wants to bet, and they just want to make sure that they're gonna be up or the over and total rounds for sure.

Speaker 1:

Yep, uh, look at this submission round combos. I don't think either guy is gonna sub anybody. They're not really known for their submissions, they're more. I mean, son Denise does have two subs in the UFC, but I kind of feel like they were just power moves, dude, like power submissions, like they ended up there. They ended up there and he just overpowered his, his opponent. You know what I mean. Like I'm gonna talk to Jiu-Jitsu here. Let's talk. Yeah, when you get a guy who's just like power guillotining and power Kimuri and everybody in the gym, what happens when those guys face somebody the same size as them? Are they still hitting?

Speaker 2:

those subs.

Speaker 1:

No, no, no, they don't, they don't. So I don't see that happening here. That's why I would stay away from all those submission parlays, yeah, but I'm for sure gonna play one of those guys Next fight. This is the midpoint of the pay per view. Number five Jessica Andraj. Taking on number seven Mackenzie Dern Gus. Do you have the records?

Speaker 2:

for these two ladies yes, yes, 24, 12 and0, and Mackenzie is 13, 3 and 0. Alright, so there we go.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, so Jessica has almost twice the record that's her Lately as of late. So let's look at her record. Let's look at Mackenzie's record. She just got that win over, uh, angela Hill. Last her and her last time out in the Octagon she won a five round unanimous decision and that was a. I remember that was a whooping dude. Yeah, she was hitting takedowns, she was getting strikes, uh she was spamming the takedowns. She was just shooting, shooting, shooting, shooting, shooting on the ground a bunch, mm hmm, but Angela was able to stop a bunch of her attempts. So I would imagine that if Angela could stop her takedowns, jessica is probably also going to be able to stop her takedowns, yeah, but even though she's able to stop it, she's going to be using all that energy.

Speaker 2:

She'll be using all that energy to stop those. It's going to look how is that going to look to the judges at the end of the day? And then you know she's going to be going to be going to the final. So she may, she may tire her out and then just start throwing and get that.

Speaker 1:

you know that that win by decision, yeah. And so if we look at her record after or before she fought Angela, she lost to Jan Jan by unanimous decision or majority.

Speaker 2:

I'm really surprised, I'm really surprised with Jan's a beast.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, yeah, exactly, yeah. So I remember she was taking some of the win over Shin on her, uh, huh, uh. Before that, she scored a split decision win over Tisha Torres. Before that, it looks like she had a unanimous win over Marina Rodriguez, and then, uh, and I can't remember, she lost to Rodriguez. Oh, she lost to Rodriguez, that's right, unanimous decision. And then before that, she had that sub against uh, and then she's got a couple other wins before she goes home about or talk about too much. You know what I mean. Let's look at Jessica and Josh's record. Jessica and Josh has had a really hard time as of late. She's coming in with one, two, three, three on a three fight, losing streak, losing streak, all by finishes. Two subs, one TKO, most recently losing by submission to Tatiana Suarez, got TKO'd by Yan Yawnan in round one and she's gone to Jessica Blanche Field, but before that she was five. Oh wait, no, I'm sorry. No, three, three three five Winnie Streak yeah, because she lost a bullet there. But she was looking good, dude, and I'm worried. I'm wondering which version of Jessica's going to show up.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, that's going to be the killer?

Speaker 1:

Is she already like punch drunk? You know what I mean. Has she lost her chin? She's going to have that power. She can drop bombs yeah, she likes to. She's got a lot of power, dude. This is only going to be a three-round fight, so that's going to favor her because she can, she can push all that. Yeah, she can push the pace. You know what I mean.

Speaker 2:

I mean, when you look at, look at Yon, like on drugs versus Yon. She got knocked down the first round where, as Mackenzie, she went more rounds and took more damage of Yon, so is on drugs. Is she going to be able to actually put that on Mackenzie? I don't know if she, if on drugs, can't take what Yon does and Yon and Mackenzie took what Yon did out. I don't know. I don't know if she's going to have enough and really what is going on with her mentally that's make you know she's, she's not fit in the bill anymore.

Speaker 1:

The last three fights, so and check this out, cause check this out, she fought in January, she fought in February, she fought in May and she fought in August. So this can be her fifth fight.

Speaker 2:

That's a lot of wear and tear.

Speaker 1:

Not only a wear, not only does she have in cage wear and tear, that's training camp wear and tear. That's mentally physically exhausting.

Speaker 2:

Yeah.

Speaker 1:

I didn't really think about that till right now. And I'm also thinking, dude, if Tatiana subbed her, for sure Mackenzie's going to sub. I would say, I would say Mackenzie, sub round one, cause that's when she's going to be the most dangerous, she's going to be at full power and they're not going to be as sweaty yeah. You know she's not going to be able to she's not going to be able to get out of those submissions early on in the fight. So if Mackenzie can get her down or even pull guard or even get a clinch up against the cage, all she's going to do is latch on to something and then from there she's just going to drag her into those deep waters and I think that's what I'm going to do.

Speaker 2:

It, yeah, so let's look at what Vegas thinks.

Speaker 1:

Vegas has the money coming in heavy on Mackenzie minus two, 15. Jessica, andros plus one 64 underdog. I don't know if, if Jessica is going to win, it's going to be by KO TKO.

Speaker 2:

Yeah yeah, it's going to be a surprise hit that just comes out of nowhere.

Speaker 1:

All right, Dude, I think the only way that Jessica is going to win is by finish not submission, but KO TKO or something along those lines.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, and it's going to be like a wild punch just out of nowhere. Yeah, dude, definitely.

Speaker 1:

Cause you know she, you know she's going to hit hard dude she, you know she's got that one shot. Knock your head off power. So if she lands one of those shots, that's where she's going to be able to finish the fight, and at plus four, 60. I don't know man, I might sprinkle a little something on there, but for sure, look at Mackenzie, submission plus 140. That almost seems out automatic to me.

Speaker 2:

Yeah.

Speaker 1:

Right, yeah, let's look at method and round combo. Let's see if we can find, like a good Mackenzie submission, ooh, submission, round one plus 350. That's a little better than a plus 140. Yeah, and you know, mackenzie sub round two plus 600, mackenzie sub round three plus 400. So that's pretty good, yeah, um, let's see what else, how the fight's going to end. Plus one, 15 submission. There you go, stack that up.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, that might be an easy little bit right there, definitely, definitely yeah.

Speaker 1:

I don't think again. I don't think Jessica is going to sub Mackenzie. Yeah, I feel like this right here is going to be one of those betting processes where you're not going to make a lot of money out, unless some fluke happens.

Speaker 2:

On on on Drosz, I think, cause I think there's for sure money to be made on.

Speaker 1:

Mackenzie. I almost feel like this is as close to automatic as you can get, just because of the timing of it all and the skill set that Mackenzie has. Like she's got the potential to get a win at any moment by submission. You know what I mean. She's going to be dangerous, just as dangerous in round one as she's going to be in round three. Yeah, but if you look at her and that's rare and if you look at her last fight.

Speaker 2:

you know she's going to be in round three. If you look at her last fight, she was throwing a lot, yes, so I feel like she's going to be. She's been working on that and she might be actually utilizing that.

Speaker 1:

I really like that. It almost feels like she's using her hands to possibly set up a submission. You know, yeah, all right Cause, let's move on. So we're both going Mackenzie. Yeah, for sure All right, let's move on to the co-main event here. Co-main event Sergei Pavlovich taking on Tom Aspinall. The only thing I hate about this fight is that Tom wasn't given a full camp. That's it. Other than that, I love this fight. Man. What are their records?

Speaker 2:

Cause so Sergei is 18, one, and oh, and Tom is 13, three, and oh, so they're pretty closely matched.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, Pretty closely matched. So let's look at their records. Sergei has one, two, three, four, five, six, seven fights in the UFC. He's recently scoring a TKO win over Curtis blades round one. Before that beat the shit out of. Tied to Evasta round one. Before that beat the breaks off of Derek Lewis who nobody does that to TKO round one. Before that guess what? Another round one TKO finish. Before that, another TKO round one finish. Before that, another TKO round finish. And before that he got TKO'd by Alistair Overeem way back in 2018. So that was a while ago. I'm noticing a theme here in Sergei's fights. He liked to get out in round one. All right, let's look at tiny Tom Aspinall. Tom Aspinall most recently fought Marcin Tibura. Finished that guy around one TKO, but before that he lost. He had that knee injury, Remember. I think he threw like a leg kick and then his something in his knee snapped and that's why Curtis got that win. So before that, he had a submission win over Alexander Volkov, who Fonzo is high on big time. He actually beat John Jones. Oh what Aspinall went through him like a buzz saw dude got the takedown and I think he finished him with like Kimura or Americana or some shit.

Speaker 2:

Okay.

Speaker 1:

Just a quick sub. And then before that, sergei Spivak, round one, submission before that. Or Lofsky, round one, or round two, submission before that, round one, tko. And then before that TKO, round one again.

Speaker 2:

All right, who you got in this Cause you know what I originally was going with Tom, because he just seems real well rounded and I've seen him before. He'll go in there and he throws. But that Russian dude, sergei, he is just a beast out there.

Speaker 1:

So as soon as he drops the big bomb, like the first shot that he lands on his opponent, you see the look in their eye where they're like oh, oh, oh, oh, oh, oh, oh, oh, oh, oh, oh, yeah, is the cage still open? Like hey this is not what I signed up for, right Right away, dude, it is awful. And then check this out. He has the same reach as John Jones, bro, he's got the longest reach in the. US. A lot of people don't know that, dude, and I don't know if they realize that until they get punched in the face.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, they probably don't realize how far he can be and still put a hurt on you.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, if you really think about people who got long limbs, you know what I mean. They don't really throw hands Like they throw hands, but they're just like giraffes. They take so long to get up there. Not Sergei dude, no, he throws them and he throws them fast.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, he's like killer gorilla.

Speaker 1:

Yes, he just got dynamite in those hands, dude. Yeah, I've been hearing a lot of the pros picking Tom Aspinall because they just think he's like you said, he's got more ways to win. Yeah, he's more well-rounded, he can get a TKO win, but he's got those subs. You know what I mean. And I just don't know if he's going to be able to get Sergei down, dude, and he's also.

Speaker 2:

He's coming in on short notice, that's not true, Coming in on short notice and not too long go the knee injury like you were talking about.

Speaker 1:

Yes, definitely man, and Sergei's just on a high dude, like I just see Tom coming in for a weird takedown and Sergei throwing a nasty uppercut and when that uppercut lands his brain is going to get scrambled and he's not going to know where the F he's at and that's where it's going to be.

Speaker 2:

I think the only way Tom is going to win this is if he can draw this out, because none of them have gone more than one round. And we haven't really seen the killer gorilla go more than one round. So I think if Tom, since he's more well-rounded, he probably has that ability to grapple and have that stamina to get this guy down, get him on the ground and maybe win by submission.

Speaker 1:

And that's almost like an unanswered question, also because we don't know the gas tanks on either of these guys. Right, you know what I mean.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, a lot of these guys are just mean. Because you have the ground game, he might have a game, cardi.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, I'm going to go Sergei round one TKO. I'm going to stay with the theme.

Speaker 2:

I'm going to.

Speaker 1:

Sergei TKO round one, because where are you going?

Speaker 2:

Yeah, I'm saying Sergei, either round one, round two, knock out and then set this one up for John Jones to meet him.

Speaker 1:

Oh yeah, that would be sick. Oh shoot, I forgot to put Let me see here. Oh, here we go. All right, we're going to have to go back because it looks like I messed up these two slides. So, looking at the money line and the props, the money is coming in barely on Tom Aspinall. He's a minus 122 favorite and Sergei a minus 104.

Speaker 2:

So it sounds like Vegas is a little undecided on how this is going to. Yeah, yeah.

Speaker 1:

It's almost like a pick them. You know what I mean. But the one thing that Vegas does agree on is that it's not going to go the distance, Because check that out Minus 1,450. That is not going to go the distance. This is where Fandall went crazy, because they got so many freaking props. Dude, look at this, they're trying. They're getting on pages of props One, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, 10, 11. 11 pages, and I don't even remember if I put them all actually dude. Wow, they start. So what they did is they started this new little thing called UFC Specials, ok, and they're basically saying oh, you want to bet that he's going to win in round one by submission, first minute? Ok, oh, you want to bet he's going to win submission round one, two minutes. Ok, like they're basically laying it all out. Instead of saying round one, submission, now they're giving you the chance to pick the minute, pick the way he's going to finish and pick the round.

Speaker 2:

And just hope you get lucky.

Speaker 1:

And hope you get lucky. So I'm just going to go through these really quickly for everybody out there watching and listening. And let's look at the ones like the whales. Look at this, Sergei to win round five plus 5,500. It ain't going around five dog.

Speaker 2:

Yeah right.

Speaker 1:

Not going around five Either fighter to win in the last two minutes of round five plus 5,500.

Speaker 2:

That sounds like sucker bets right there.

Speaker 1:

Totally, dude, totally. Look at this Tom Aspinall to win in the last 30 seconds of the fifth round plus 30,000, dude plus 30,000. Yeah, crazy, yeah right, that's crazy. But imagine if it happens and you put a dollar on it. Jeez, yeah, there's just too many props to look at here. I'm not even going to keep talking about it, because there's just a butthole. Let's see if there's anything for KO TKO. Here we go. Tko, ko round combos Sergei round one or two plus 165. Sergei round two, three or four plus 500. That would be good, dude. You know what I mean. If you think it's going to go past the first round, hey, why not go plus 500 instead of plus 165?

Speaker 2:

Yeah, yeah.

Speaker 1:

And I'm not saying that Aspenall doesn't have a chance like you, because I think that his best bet would be to go all five rounds, you know yeah.

Speaker 2:

Oh yeah, all right, I don't see it happening. I do not see it happening, you're right, you're right. All right.

Speaker 1:

So we're both going, sergei finish. Yeah definitely, definitely, yeah, and I'm probably going to sprinkle, probably going to play the under on this also. Ok, all right. Main event Yuri Projasko taking on Alex Perreida for the interim heavyweight title bout Right. Is this interim or is this official?

Speaker 2:

I'm not sure on that one.

Speaker 1:

All right, Can you give us their records? Because?

Speaker 2:

Yes, so Yuri is 29, 3, and 1. And Alex is 8, 2, and 0. Ooh.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, yuri is definitely a lot more.

Speaker 2:

Oh man, originally I would say Alex, but man Yuri, the last, I don't know. I feel like he's got it, so I'm going.

Speaker 1:

I think I'm going with Yuri I think I'm going with Yuri. Yeah, finish TKO KO sub decision.

Speaker 2:

I don't know, because now I mean now I'm on the fence with this one, really, to be honest with you, you know, after I always thought that Alex was going to be the champ and be the champ for a while, but after he got worked by, what's his name?

Speaker 1:

Izzy.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, Izzy the second time. I'm a little iffy, especially that ground game. That's not there, so I don't know. But I could see Alex. If he got all those doubts and cobwebs out of his head from the Izzy fight, I could see him winning this for sure. So I don't know.

Speaker 1:

I think he got that out of his mind because, if you remember, he fought Jan Blahovic already at 205.

Speaker 2:

OK, I didn't watch that fight.

Speaker 1:

Yeah. So he's fought one more time since the Izzy fight At the wake. He's at right now and he looked pretty good, he did pretty good and, if you remember, jan beat Izzy at 205. Now, the other thing about this was that when he fought Jan, they fought in Utah and it was at like Elevation, 7,000 feet or something. So he kind of looked in that fight like he wasn't trying to expend all his energy just because he wasn't sure if he would have, if he would need it later on.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, ok.

Speaker 1:

So in this fight they're fighting in New York, bro. Ok, he's not going to have no worries about that. So I think that's going to help him out. Yuri Izza, an anomaly yeah, we're dude. He's like he really thinks he's a samurai, like he takes on that complete lifestyle like I Wanted. I'm doing this because I want to test myself. He does a lot of weird shit. I was listening to an interview he did with Ariel on MMA hour. He locked himself like in a cave or some shit for three days. What? What's? Complete dark. I don't even know if it was a cave. Oh, I know it was complete darkness. He said closet. He said maybe in more ways than one right. But he said there was a toy, like if there was a bathroom, there is a shower and Other than that it was just a room and it was pitch black and once a day Somebody would come bring him food.

Speaker 2:

That was it was he in prison? That's what it sounds like to me.

Speaker 1:

He said he just did it, for did it on his own dude. Wow, okay like just to meditate, to get away from everything who knows. Yeah, supposedly like that's just one of those things, dude. Like that's just one of those weird-ass things. That's like dude. He's not only physically strong, but he's mentally strong like I don't know if he can be broken. You know, in his last fight against Glover to Sharra, glover took him to the limits. That was a five round Massacre and he was able to overcome that and he actually Broke Glover. It seemed like because he got Glover in a rear naked where it was just like a almost like a School yard headlock choking several rear naked because he wasn't even on his back, he didn't have no hook sink. Then he just had this oh, that's right, I remember that.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, okay, yeah, I remember that.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, okay. So another thing we got to think about is who's in Alex's corner? Glover, who took Yuri to the limits, glover over, yeah. So he's gonna have some real insight, what he's gonna need to do and where he's gonna get taken to. So Glover's already been telling him bro, you better fucking be ready for this, because this is what he's gonna do, mm-hmm. So there's no secrets.

Speaker 2:

Yeah.

Speaker 1:

He already knows, you know, and and one thing about this is that, because Yuri's got that crazy samurai mindset, I kind of feel like the easy way for Yuri to win this fight is to do what cuz? To grapple, grapple. Take Alex down as fast as you can and test them there, because we don't know, yeah, that's gonna be where the biggest gap is gonna be between these two guys right yeah, and and and if he wants to make an easy night of it, that's what you do, but I don't think that's what he's gonna do. I think he wants to test himself. I think he wants to go toe-to-toe with Alex and I think that that's gonna be a big, big mistake, man. Yeah, because if Alex plays the, the technique card, where he's not gonna engage in anything crazy, he's not gonna get into dog fights, he's just gonna tie, use timing, use his perfect technique to snipe Yuri out. That's. I think that's what he's gonna do. Yeah, and Yuri doesn't have that in his game plan. He's gonna throw these crazy spinning back elbows, she's gonna throw these looping punches, and when he does that, that's when Alex can come in and snipe.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, but it's not okay.

Speaker 1:

Isn't careful, he's gonna get sniped out by something crazy, some crazy, yeah, yeah and dude, what happened when he fought Izzy? Why did he lose? Where were his hands at? You can't do that against Yuri. Both of these guys do that. Both of these guys come in with their hands down and this is not the fight to be doing that against. Because if Yuri comes in with his hands down doing one of these crazy Conor McGregor bouncing in and out, yeah, roddy stands and Alex times it and gets your oh he's. He's moving every three steps in. Oh, he's coming in two steps and then taking a quick back step. I got you, bro, I'm gonna cut you off now.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, all Bad. What is the reach on both of these? Do we know what the reason I?

Speaker 1:

don't know. I would imagine it's probably pretty close, just because they're both light heavy weights. You know what I mean.

Speaker 2:

Oh, okay, so yeah, so Yuri has an 80 inch reach and Alex has a 79 inch reach see right on, they're both. They're both six to six, three. So they're yeah, they're pretty close in age, pretty close in height and almost exactly the same reach. So none of that's gonna be a deciding factor, like we were talking.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, I don't think so either. Yeah, all right cuz. So I mean, this is kind of a hard, really hard fight to pick. But, mm-hmm, I'm gonna go this might come back to bite me in the butt, man but I want to say, alex TKO, round three, round three, round four, I Think you might be right. I mean, look at Vegas.

Speaker 2:

Vegas. It's smart about it, so they're putting that, they're putting Alex up there, so you might be right. You might be right.

Speaker 1:

Well, what do you think? Who you gonna go within this one and how I'm on the fence.

Speaker 2:

Really, I really don't know how this is gonna go. It's like you said, it depends on who comes and what game plan they come with and who sticks to their game plan. I don't know.

Speaker 1:

I'm gonna go back now, I'm gonna rewatch, I'm gonna watch both of these guys fights right after I'm done. We're done with this, um. But let's look at Vegas. Oh, let's look at their records. Actually, here here's Yuri pro joscas record last got that win over glover to share, but before that he had that crazy win over Dominic rays where he sent Dominic rays like he snapped on Dominic rays. He may, dominic rays disappear. We haven't seen Dominic ray since. Where are you, dominic?

Speaker 2:

He's like Homer in the bushes just back.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, man, uh-huh. And then let's look at Alex's record here. Last got that win over yon, but before that he got taken out by Izzy in the second round at 185, and then before that obviously he had the win over Izzy. Before that he had the win over Sean and then Bruno Silva, and then that Mitchell latest guy.

Speaker 2:

All right, so it seems like he's all. He's all over the board. You don't really know.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, you know, let's look at Vegas. Like you said, the money is coming in on Alex at minus 128, yuri as a underdog at plus 100. Let's look at some crazy props Alex by sub plus two thousand, yeah, yuri by sub plus nine fifty. Yuri by points plus seven hundred. That's a total possibility. Yeah, yeah, let's draw.

Speaker 2:

Yeah good, yeah draw.

Speaker 1:

I don't think so, yeah, that's not happening. Um, I said Alex by KO TKO Round three or four. Let's look at the round combos. That's later on. And then again they did the same shit. Dude, there's so many props here. Look at this. One, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, ten, eleven, twelve, third, twelve pages of props. But I'm gonna go straight to the KO TKO round combos because I think that's how it's gonna end. And if we look at Alex Finish oh, look at that, alex to win by KO TKO round three, four or five plus five, fifty.

Speaker 2:

Oh, Might be a easy and little simple, but right there.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, I like that. I really like that. But at the same time Yuri could also win round four or five by TKO and look at that plus 1300 yeah dude.

Speaker 2:

I Feel like this right here. I feel like they're setting this up to make money off people versus Giving you the the options. So they're throwing all these different and then like in sprinkles.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, yeah, alex, to win in the second minute of round. Five Plus eight thousand, you know some dumbass degenerate gamblers. That's my mortgage for the rest of the year. All right, so those are our picks. Let us know what your picks are, cuz anything you want to say before we wrap this bad boy up, man.

Speaker 2:

Just hey, for everyone out there. Thanks for listening, and it also to. We got veterans day tomorrow. We're selling it tomorrow, so it's all the veterans out there. Yeah, thank you for your service and I hope you're still listening.

Speaker 1:

I'm ready to take on 10 minutes right now. That's right. That's right. Yeah, thank you to all the vets. Hope for you. You're all listening to this or watching this on veterans day, if you are. Happy veterans day to everyone out there. Thank you for everything you've done. Thank you for your sacrifice. That's a wrap for the UFC 295 parley super show. Stay tuned to Monday's episode where we Announce our winner, and we got tons and tons of announcements and news to share with y'all. So until next week, chingosso's combat crew out.

Speaker 2:

All right, cuz so right, cool man. Yeah, no problem, it's cool, all right.

Speaker 1:

So I'll get those.

Speaker 2:

I'll get those. I'll get those picks and everything and send them over to you tomorrow for sure.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, if not tomorrow, on Saturday we'll work too. Well, we have the turn of me.