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Ready to place your bets for the UFC 292 Parley Super Show? We're breaking down everything you need to know in this exciting edition of Chingaso's Combat Crew. We begin by sizing up Brad Katona and Cody Gibson. Both are formidable fighters with impressive records, but we dig deep into why we aren't exactly rooting for Brad Katona. Trust us, you'll want to hear this before making your betting decisions.
Next, we shift our focus to Aljamain Sterling and "Suga"Sean O'Malley. While their fight records speak volumes, it's the disparity in victories that has us buzzing. Will Sterling's 23 wins outshine O'Malley's 16? Or will O'Malley defy the odds and emerge victorious? We've got the betting odds and potential prop bets that could tip the scales in your favor.
And finally, we dive into the female side of the scale, looking at the upcoming showdown between Weli Zhang and Amanda Lemmos. With Weli as the favorite, and Lemmos as the underdog, we analyze their past performances, current winning streaks, and the potential outcome. If you're eager to know more about the favorites, underdogs, or the possibility of a finish in this fight, let our conversation guide you. So, tune in, and let's get ready for the big fight night together!
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Hey, welcome to this special edition of Chingosso's Combat Crew. It's the UFC 292 Harley Super Show. We got a cool crew here. How you guys doing on this Friday?
Speaker 2:Dude can't wait for the weekend, which means fights, some amazing fights. So, dude, doing great. We're only got one more day before the weekend, so, oh yeah, hope everybody out there's having a good time so far. How you doing that?
Speaker 3:I'm doing good, man. I'm doing good and busy as heck, but I'm looking forward to this episode and you know, talk about these fights tomorrow. They're going on. Actually almost forgot about I've been so busy but yeah, I'm pumped. I'm pumped to see how this thing turns out.
Speaker 1:Yeah, heck. Yes, been a while since we had the full crew on welcome back, cuz glad to have you here, thank you. Uh, this is, like I think, our third UFC Parley Super Show. So what we started doing a few episodes ago is me and Fonzo play with the pretend budget of a thousand bucks. So we're each gonna start off with a thousand dollars. We're gonna go over all the main fights on the pay-per-view and then I got a couple fights from the prelims. But you don't have to make a pick for every single fight, you're just gonna pick the ones that you want. So I'm gonna we're gonna ask, we're gonna ask each other, who do you take and how are they gonna win? But you don't necessarily have to put down a bet on each fight, and then we're gonna share our results on Sunday's episode. So yeah, man, so for this episode I got stats for like everybody's past 10 to 15 fights. I got rankings, I got Parley, actually the money line, I got prop bets and I kind of highlighted where maybe we might want to take a look at. So we where you might find some bargains, where you might Be able to turn some bucks if you got some extra cash in y'all pocket. So you're ready to jump into this bad boy.
Speaker 2:Let's do it.
Speaker 1:Big money bets. Frank ready to go? Let's go. Oh, first fight on the docking. I want to talk about boys. It's the tough finale. We got Brad Katona taking on Cody Gibson. Now both of these guys had two finishes on the ultimate fighter season 31. But again, it's kind of like with both of these new next fights, because both of these are the finales, right. So this is the 155ers, or 145ers, and then the other guys are the 155. Yeah, so these are the Bannon weights, I'm sorry, 135, right. And then the other way classes, the light weights, and so Everybody that made it to the finals had two finishes. The only thing is that these guys were on Chandler's team and Chandler's team was made up of all the veterans, so every time they fought, they fought a rookie or a prospect. So who's gonna win? Put a purple belt against a white belt, what's gonna happen?
Speaker 3:The white balls gonna win. When he and then he's gonna wake up.
Speaker 2:Yeah.
Speaker 1:Smashed on everybody that. So it's kind of weird to say like, ah, they're killers, so we really won't know. This can be like one of the first times that they fought a veteran, and Actually they fought two Pete two veterans before, so they kind of do have actually one win against a veteran. So I'm super interested in this fight because on the ultimate fighter, these guys hated each other For whatever reason. One guy, I guess, was a little messy and another guy had issues with it. It's like dude who gives a shit, you're all roommates, whatever. But I guess one dude would leave notes for the other guy saying like fuck you, clean shit up. Blah, blah, blah. So we got team Canada team USA should be pretty interesting. I'm not gonna be laying down any money on this fight, but it's gonna be a good fight to watch, so this will be a good way to start to get ready for the pay-per-view. Does anybody want to place any bets on this one, or you have anything to say about this one?
Speaker 2:No man, all right, I haven't. I haven't even checked up. It's true, you didn't even ask me. Yeah, there's not much here.
Speaker 1:This, the only bet that I could find on this right now, is the money line, and they got Brad catone as a Slight favorite, minus 180, a Cody Gibson as a plus to 152. So it's almost even. Yeah, you know.
Speaker 3:I'm not gonna put any money on this one, but I definitely got to say I'm definitely not going for a for Brad. Is it Brad? What's what's a?
Speaker 1:Yeah, bracketona, he's kind of a douche man, he's kind of yeah, yeah, I didn't, I didn't like him on the show, I got my advice.
Speaker 3:I think I think I yeah, I got I. I remember seeing him the first time he was on the UFC Ultimate Fighter and Kind of like he was okay, I didn't like his, you know his attitude. But I mean he was cool the first time, but the second time I just I didn't really like him. I didn't like his, his attitude, I didn't like how it was the team, because I just felt like Chandler really put it on the line for him. You know he put it. He was there for his team, he was there coaching and you know, and his coaches were there helping. They put everything they had into you know they're their team and their guys. And I just felt like, yeah, okay, you go back with my Gregory team, but there should be some level of respect, like these guys are giving you their Time and energy, like there should be some level of respect there. And I just didn't really feel like the guy had it, you know. So, yeah, it just. You know I didn't like him. So in that, in that sense, I hope he loses.
Speaker 1:Yeah, and don't forget about that one episode where he kind of just like through Chandler under the bus making it sound like Mm-hmm. You wanted his own coaching is like, bro, we got a whole squad here, we're gonna get to you, you're not even fighting this week, but okay, you know. So that kind of irked me a little too, so kind of, yeah, a little evil, but I get it. You know he's trying to win the show, so hopefully Cody Gibson does it. So the other finale, the other fight from the finale, is gonna be Kurt Hull of all, taken on Austin Hubbard At a lightweight bow. Now, dude, kurt brings the effing pain. This guy reminds me of, like a bigger thug, nasty Bryce Mitchell, but with power, kind of like a Bryce Mitchell Tim means Matt Brown style does that. If that rings the bell. You know what I mean. If you can imagine those guys fight style. That's what I see Kurt Hall of all doing, like in what I've seen from the show, and he's had he's been in the UFC before, I want to say, or actually all these guys, but he's had four fights against super tough opponents that he ended up taking L's to. I don't think he got finished, but he, they're all decisions. So I'm, if anybody in this one, I'm pulling for Kurt, I mean, but I'm sure both of these guys will see in the UFC, but I'd rather see Kurt win this fight. I don't know enough about either these guys to make a solid pick or to recommend anything, but if you look at some of these odds, man, there's some pretty good ones. Yeah, check that out. Kurt Hall of all to win in round three plus thirteen hundred. Dude. Yeah, her hall of all to win round two eleven hundred. That's a very tempting bet, dude. Yeah, I'll do check these out. Check these out in the upper right hand corner. These are like I think they call these, combos, and Austin Hubbard, submission and to win, but in round three plus 3600 bro.
Speaker 3:Oh, wow.
Speaker 1:Yeah.
Speaker 3:I.
Speaker 1:Would, put my money on that dude. Just put a dollar on that. You get 36 bucks. There's minimum men's full and do a stack it. No, there's no minimum bet. You can put a dollar on that. Who will take your dollar? A fan duel Dude. Some people pull like. They'll take a dollar. Yeah, you can put whatever you want, dude, are you? This doesn't make us look, this makes us look awful, fonzo. Hey, man, I don't need. Yeah, you can. On those websites, you are able to bet whatever you want on one.
Speaker 2:This is for all the listeners.
Speaker 1:Yeah, the more you know, fonzo. You're trying to make sure our listeners know. Good call, Fonzo. Yeah, you could do whatever you want. Man, there's a guy Every I don't know if it's on Monday's episode or Tuesday's episode of the MMA hour with Ariel Hawani. One of his homies has a segment where he pulls up the big winners for the weekend and he goes. Oh yeah, we have Austin from Tennessee, who laid down 25 cents. I don't know 25 cents, but I've heard like as low as a dollar $2. And what these guys do is it's just for fun, you know what I mean. They just stack as many props as they can find and eventually they get to odds that are like in the thousands. So they're like plus $2,500, plus $5,500, plus $6,500. And they're betting like $1, $2, $5. But it's like multiple underdogs, bros, Multiple underdogs, and if they hit off of a dollar they're turning in several hundred bucks sometimes. So it's crazy, but they're total Hail Marys. You know you can't expect to hit something like that every time, but hey, it makes watching the fights so much fun. So so much fun it was like.
Speaker 2:Have you seen that freaking movie, that Adam Sandler movie with the gyms on cut gyms have you seen that shit?
Speaker 1:Oh, it's a good ass movie, yeah.
Speaker 2:Yeah, he hits that big ass freaking payday at the end. Yes, it's a good movie. Go watch, go watch it.
Speaker 1:Check it out. Another good investment here plus 1100 Kurt Hallibod win by KOTKL, which he showed he's able to do multiple times on the show, right Cause yeah, I wouldn't be surprised he's definitely a banger I was.
Speaker 3:I think this is going to be a really good fight between these guys. I mean, I wouldn't even I honestly I I couldn't pick between the two because Austin Hubbard, actually I didn't think he was going to do in his previous fight. I thought I mean, he's a good fighter, don't get me wrong, but I didn't think he was going to win it over. I forgot who he was fighting, okay, and I thought he was going to be end up being the loser in it. But man, he came out and he, like he threw down. So you know, definitely got my respect on that one. So I mean it's going to be a really good fight. I'm looking forward to both to see what happens.
Speaker 1:Yes, and I'm kind of getting like Forrest Griffin and a Stephan Bonner vibes here Like yeah, I can see that.
Speaker 3:It's going to be a war, dude, it's going to be a war.
Speaker 1:So I'm not, I'm not picking any, I'm not going to place a bet on this, but a a it would be yes. Go back to the last slide, please.
Speaker 2:All right, did you want to check out the belly button? I do, I do, and all right, I'm going to do Kurt. I'm going to do Kurt. Hallibah round three decision. Right, bro, I'm listening now I'll make a decision. Say that again. Does it happen he has to win in round three or does it go to the decision? Does that get that $1,300?
Speaker 1:Which one are you doing here? Which one are you doing Kurt Hallibah to win in round three?
Speaker 2:Yeah, so if it goes to decision, is that is that? Does that?
Speaker 1:like no, you got it. He's got it in because if you look right there, right underneath where it says round betting, there's like a little exclamation mark right here and it says fight must end in selected around for the wager to be a winner. So he has to win by TKO or submission in in that round, Otherwise you're making a donation, bro All right, I'm going to do Kurt Hallibah to win round three.
Speaker 2:I'm going to do a dollar.
Speaker 1:You're doing what? No, bro, we're using a thousand dollars a year.
Speaker 2:We're using a thousand dollar. I'm doing a dollar here.
Speaker 1:All right, you told me you could, you totally could. All right, all right, I'm not going to, I'm not tracking your budget, because that's ridiculous, because I'll keep track of your, your budget, and I'm going to do that because we make this.
Speaker 2:This is the only one that I'm doing like that. I hope so All right, you're a terrible bookie. You're a terrible bookie. I'm trying to take money from you. I'm trying to help people make money yeah.
Speaker 3:But if he wasn't bookie, he's be, like you know, trying to give you a hard time, just so you know what? Yeah, you know what. Yeah, I'm going to put some more on it and, bam, you're losing. So yeah if.
Speaker 2:I was more money, I'd be like, oh so you like plus 1300.
Speaker 1:How about plus 2600, my friend? Oh, here's $5. Got you, that's how I get you. That's how I get you, bro. All right, man, we're going to start with the main event on this bad boy, my fellas. You ready for? This Aljamae Sterling. Sean O'Malley, just biting it right in the, taking it right in the face, dude, Just boom power shot right here, man. Send the tongue for the rest of the show. Aljamae Sterling champion minus two? Actually, I don't even know, because those are the UFC odds. I'm going to go over ban duel. I'm getting all the money lines and prop bets. Aljamae Sterling coming in with a I don't even know what his record is right now 21 and three, 20.
Speaker 3:I don't know I'm not sure, fonzo, can you look up?
Speaker 1:these guys' records real quick while I go over them, so I got Aljamae Sterling's last one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine 10 fights 23, three and 0. 23, three and 0. All right, there we go. So his last 10 wins.
Speaker 3:Sean O'Malley is 16 wins, one loss and no draws.
Speaker 1:Okay, so 16 wins, 16 versus the 23 you said Fonzo, right, so that's yeah, that's kind of a little gap in victories there. But let's look at Aljo's last previous fights and if you look at his one, two, three, four last fights, they've all been against previous champs or the champs at that time, even though Piotr Ion is represents two of those. And I think that those versions of Piotr Ion are better than what we have now or what we've seen in the last year. That was when, like Peter, piotr Ion was believing his smoke, believing his hype, and he was ultra confident. But after Aljo took the strap from him, I think it kind of affected him mentally and he's just not at that level anymore. And then we go back before that. He's got that submission win over Corey Sandhagen. Peter Pedro Munoz decision, unanimous decision, win. That fight was boring, dude. How long ago was that? 2019? That's four years ago. And then a decision went over Jimmy Rivera. Submission win over Cody Stamen. Decision went over Brett Johns. And then he got laid out by Marla Marise with that crazy knee. You guys, any questions on this? Or I'm ready to. I'm going to shoot over to Fonzo's homie, suga, all right, so Suga's record here we have on the screen his last win. He's coming in off that split decision win over Piotr Ion. Before that, the no contest, the Ipoc against Pedro Munoz. Before that, tko win over Rawlian Paiva, tko win over Chris Moitano, ko win over Thomas Almeida, tko loss to Chito Vera, ko win over Eddie Weiland, tko win over Jose Aguilones, decision win over Andre Suquampoff, decision win over Terri Nguerre and then a KO win on his Dana White contender series debut. All right, gentlemen, I do want to state this that as I was looking through Sean's record, dude, he's, if you take out fighters that are no longer in the UFC, sean has three fights and he's one, one and one in those three fights.
Speaker 2:What was that tomato? What was that tomato?
Speaker 1:Oh, oh, bro, you noticed my graphics. Thanks for pointing that out, Fonzo. So I put a tomato can next to Rawlian. Actually, I probably shouldn't have put it next to Rawlian, because he's actually pretty good or he's decent. He has potential. But Chris Moetano is not even in the UFC anymore. Thomas Almeida and not in the UFC anymore. Eddie Weiland retired. Jose Quinoa is not in the UFC anymore. Andre Sukkampthot not in the UFC anymore. Terian Ware not in the UFC anymore. Alfred Kaseyki I couldn't find anything on him, so I think he might have gotten abducted by aliens. So that just leaves Rawlian Paiva. Pedro Muñoz, Piotr Jan he got the split decision win over Piotr. He's got a no conscious over Pedro Muñoz and then he's got the win over Rawlian. Tko round one. I gotta say, dude, I'm not impressed. That's what I'm saying. I guess he would have had to have fought for the title because everyone else is busted. There's nobody else available, but I kind of feel like they rushed him through. He should have had another fight, or at least one more fight to test himself against a high level competitor.
Speaker 3:Well, I mean. So I'm going to put that aside. When you just sit right there and I'm just looking straight at the numbers from what UFC has and as far as like, let's just go out like take down and take down defense, according to the UFC, they're basically Sean O'Malley's take down percentage versus Strikland his take down defense. They're pretty much the same. Vice versa, they're pretty much the same. Now, when you're looking at significant strikes by position, which these guys are both going to be standing I think most of the time they're going to bring this out you have Sean O'Malley, he's at like a, or you have Strikland Sorry, not Strikland Sterling Sterling Sterling at 66%. 66% of the significant strikes by position is at 66% at standing, which we know that's going to be, and so he and that's divided by headshots and body shots pretty equally. You got like 50% is going to be at the head, 33 is going to be at the body. Now, when you look, at Sean O'Malley.
Speaker 1:I kind of feel like those stats are deceiving, though, because he's those Sean stats are off against cans, Whereas I mean, if we look at Right, but that's like that.
Speaker 3:That's what I'm saying that's what I'm saying.
Speaker 1:I see where you're going. I'm sorry cause yeah, keep going so you have, so you have.
Speaker 3:So now you got Sean O'Malley. He's significant strikes are 95%. So, taking what you said, looking at this statistics right here and again I forgot to mention his significant strike target is 70% at the head and only 20% at the body and 9% at the leg. So when I'm looking at that, I think that Sterling is going to come into this and we've seen it. He's going to come into this pretty confident. He's going to come into this thing like I don't, like this guy is nothing, I'm going to walk all over him, I don't really need to put too much into this and I feel like this is I don't know why, but I get this feeling like this is going to be one of those things where O'Malley it just he shocks everyone. He maybe gets that. You know that that like two, you know two punch combo that just lands per perfectly the overhand righteous land, and you know he starts knocking, knocking Sterling down, and so I see this is the one. I'm going to put money on, the underdog on this one, all right, so give me a hotbed.
Speaker 1:Yeah, let's look at that, let's look at that, let's look at this. So here's the money line. Money line is on Aljo. He's the favorite at minus 265. Sugar is at an underdog at plus 200. So if you pick Sean as a winner, you could lay I mean you lay down a hundred, but for every hundred you put down on Sean you get 200 back. And then if you think you know how you're saying you think he can land a kill shot, check that out. You could stack. You could say I want Sean to win by, and I'm going to put 200 on that, I'll give you 200 back. You can say I want Sean to win by KOTK, I'm going to put another 200 on that and that will bring you back. You know, 330 times two, so 660. Let's look at some of the other ones, because there's a bunch here. There is a shitload of props. Look at method and round combo Aljo by K. I don't think Aljo is going to KO anybody because he doesn't do that, but I do see him getting a sub and I'm thinking like round. I was talking to Eddie, Eddie's thinking sub round two or three. I'm thinking the same thing. I would probably be willing to bet Aljo by sub round three, maybe even round four. I might take him a little bit longer to get him down, but I one thing that I like is Aljo's on a hot streak, he's in his prime and his team, bro. His team is full of killers. Not only that, like Matt Sarah and Ray Longo, those guys are just veterans in the game they're going to come up with a killer game plan to figure out Sean Dude. They got Sean figured out already. They haven't said much, but I would be willing to bet this is going to end early and I'm going Aljo. So let me see here. Aljo, it's going to be hard to make money on this one, Right?
Speaker 3:Exactly.
Speaker 2:Well, if you do by submission dude, you can make some money. If you're going to do submission and round, if you pick the round, you can make some good money.
Speaker 1:Yeah, I'm going to go hell, mary, on this one. I'm going to go Aljo submission round. Let's go around three, bro. That's plus 1400. I'll put 200 down on that dog. Aljo sub round, three, 200. And because what was your bet going to be mine?
Speaker 3:I'm going to do, I'm going to, I'm going to do 400. Sean O'Malley to win in round five.
Speaker 1:Round, round five. Win by anything, just to win yeah.
Speaker 3:And how much is that? That one is plus 3100. Okay.
Speaker 1:Plus 3100.
Speaker 3:Yeah, that's what it says 3100. Okay.
Speaker 1:And you're going 200 bucks. No four. Oh, 400 bucks, all right, yeah, so you got $600 to play with still. All right, banzo, are you touching this one or what dog?
Speaker 2:Yeah, all right, what are you doing? I got Sean by KO round two $100. Round two for how much?
Speaker 1:What was that?
Speaker 2:$199. That's a dollar 99.6. $199.
Speaker 1:Just to make, give me $200 total All right, I got you All right, so you're paying, putting $199 and how much are? You Plus that's plus 1500. Plus 1500. All right, got you dog. All right, that's a good one. That's a good one. Put the macho man's back on. Let's go to the next fight.
Speaker 3:Oh, this one Wait. Title boys.
Speaker 1:Let's look at the records here, zhongwei Li obviously being at the top for a hot, hot minute. So most of her fights are either against a former champs or even the champ themselves, because she did lose the title for a little bit. So she's coming in off of a win over Carla the Cookie Monster Sparza. Before that, she beat Yohana Junjecek Remember she gave her that spinning back and then before that she was on back to back losses to Rose, won by decision, which was a split decision loss, and then the obvious that KO head kick from hell. But before that, wins over Yohana Junjecek and Jessica Andraj. Let's take a look at the challenger, amanda Lemmos. Amanda Lemmos coming in on a two fight winning streak with recent wins over Mariana Rodriguez and the karate hotty Michelle Watterson, but before that she got arm triangle in the first round by Jessica Andraj guys. And then before that she was on a one, two, three, four, five fight winning streak with wins over Angela Hill, monster at Ruiz Livia, renata Sosa, mizuki Inua and Miranda Granger. Now, all week I've been hearing that Amanda hits hard, that she hits harder than Zangwei Lee and that she has the potential to knock her out.
Speaker 3:But, can she do it against like the these type of best level fighter though?
Speaker 1:That's what I'm saying. That's what I'm saying, I don't know man.
Speaker 3:I mean, look who you know Lee has been fighting. You know in her history you know that fight with Joanna like that was freaking nuts. That was a battle you know I don't really see anybody at that level on her roster.
Speaker 1:Do you know who you need to ask about that battle? Joanna's forehead guys Remember.
Speaker 3:Yeah, oh God yeah.
Speaker 1:That was awful. I felt so bad for her Boat of Sita.
Speaker 3:Yeah, she didn't. She wasn't in posting anything, she wasn't on. There was no photos of her for like a few weeks.
Speaker 2:Have you guys seen that show on Netflix? What's it called? Fucking Damn, the one with the freaking, the cartoon with the kids Big mouth. Have you seen that shit?
Speaker 1:No, I haven't watched it. No, I've seen clips of it, but I've never watched it all.
Speaker 2:Well, there's a freaking homer monster that comes out in it. That's what you're like. That's what you want to look like Freaking homer monster.
Speaker 1:No, Joanna look like the son that Cher had in the movie mask bro, oh yeah.
Speaker 3:Yeah.
Speaker 1:That's what she was.
Speaker 3:Sorry, Joanna I looked the tightest or something like that. I love being a disease or something.
Speaker 1:All right. So let's look at the money line, guys. Heavy money's coming in on Zhongwei Li minus three 40 favorite amount of Lemo's plus two 50 underdog method of victory among the Lemo's by points. So I don't know what that means. Does that mean decision plus 1000? The fight go the distance. You guys think this is going to go all the way, or do you see a?
Speaker 3:finish Okay so if it goes a distance.
Speaker 1:Plus two twenty five.
Speaker 2:Yeah, alright.
Speaker 1:Is there an over under on this? Uh, you know what? I didn't see? I don't. I didn't see any over unders on this. I don't see any over unders, but maybe we can find them for just before, I guess. So we'll just have to go with this right for right now. I don't see Amanda Lemo's subbing Zangue Lee. I don't see Zhongwei Li subbing Amanda Lemo's. I see this being a battle dude. I think I see Zhongwei Li getting on her bike, coming in and out. I see Amanda stalking her, but I just don't think she's at the same level that Zhongwei Li is at dude. I think Lee, like cousin Ann said, that's a good thing, whereas Amanda's just barely getting to that level. So this is going to be a lesson for her to learn and she's going to grow from this and she'll probably be back, but not this time bros, go, go back.
Speaker 2:There was, there's that last one. What is that the last one that says decision no bet If the fight goes to the market or void.
Speaker 1:If a fighter wins by TKO, I don't know what that means Anyways alright. Yeah, you know I'm not. I'm not going to touch this one, guys, but I got I, if I had to, I would go Zhongwei Li decision. I think that she's going to get back to the last one. I think that's we had. We see some crooked judging, which we have seen in the past. Total possibility Uh, but otherwise I see here, I see I don't see here coasting through this, because she's got that right hand dude. She could drop her at any time, so she's got to be aware of that, but I'm sure she's too smart dude. She got knocked out once and it didn't happen before that, and I don't, and it hasn't happened since, and no one's gotten close either. I don't know what are you doing. I'll put a bet on it.
Speaker 2:Alright, wait, wayley, by decision. 100 bucks that's plus three eighty, according to this right. That's what that means by points, uh huh.
Speaker 1:Yeah Plus three. Uh, yeah Plus three, eighty, alright.
Speaker 2:And you're going how much? 100 bucks, 100. Yeah, so that'll that leads me to 700.
Speaker 1:Alright, alright, dog.
Speaker 3:Cuz you're going to put it on the table. I'll be frosty about this. Let's, I'm gonna do um, I'm just gonna do 100 bucks on this, because I don't really see this as a big winning. Uh, big win, but just kind of throw it out there. I 'm gonna do um, I'm gonna do a Amanda, amanda, um, let me must buy points, just because I just I've seen a lot of crazy stuff and I, I don't know, for some reason, I feel if anything is gonna happen, it's gonna be a big win, but she won anyways.
Speaker 1:Yeah, and how much are you gonna risk on that one, my man?
Speaker 3:I'm just doing 100. I'm just doing 100 on that one.
Speaker 1:Alright, so that leaves you with 500 cuz. Yeah, alright, yeah, next fight, next fight. How interested are you in this fight? I'm gonna call Machado Gary, ian, machado Gary, taking his wife's last name. There. We think about that.
Speaker 3:It's 2023 guys, is that what you did?
Speaker 1:That's not what I did. He took the name of the bakery down the street I did. That's what it was I was super pumped for this fight when it was Jeff Neil and Ian Machado, but now Neil Magni and Ian Machado. I guess this is still Ian Machado's biggest test. So UFC thinks that he's got potential. A lot of people think he's got potential, could be a put future champ, but he's that's neither here nor there. Fonzo, he's got a lot to prove. So he's got a lot to prove that he's got a lot to see longer than the octagon and he's coming in with a win over Phil Road. Like you called on last week's show Split decision. He was on the UFC on ABC card, josh Emmett taking on Ilya Tuporia, but before that he got finished by. Gilbert Burns in the first round, remember, yeah? And then, before that, though, he had a submission win over Daniel Rodriguez. Let's take a quick peek at Mr Machado, ian, gary, machado, undefeated, my, my gentlemen, and coming in with a recent win over Daniel Rodriguez, who Neil Magni subbed in round three. Machado did, made quick work of him and TKO'd him in the first round. Before that he was in the second round Decision win over Gabriel Green, decision win over Darian Weeks, ko over Jordan Williams, and then, before that, he was in cage Warriors. So there is their current records. Let's look at the money line and props Neil Magni coming in as a plus three, sixty underdog and Ian Machado, gary, as a minus five thirty favorite. Gentlemen, is anybody want to play with this guy?
Speaker 2:I don't know I'm a man. I was going to say man, that's. That's kind of unusual. I was thinking.
Speaker 3:I was thinking Neil Magni would be, would be the favorite here Just because, he's I'm not, yeah, but Gary, gary's like on, like he's on a role right now, and maybe he's like, uh, when you, uh, frank, was showing us things earlier like the knockout, knockout, knockout, like I see it happening again.
Speaker 1:I'm liking that plus three sixty underdog.
Speaker 2:I'm like man that's. That's kind of unusual. I was thinking.
Speaker 3:I was thinking Neil Magni would be would be the favorite here just because he's hired, yeah, but Gary, gary, he's like on, like he's on a role right now and maybe he's like when you, uh, frank, was showing us things earlier, like the knockout, knockout, knockout, like I see it happening again.
Speaker 1:Alright, alright, are you going?
Speaker 3:to touch this one Cuz.
Speaker 1:No, I'm not, I'm not Dude, I like that. Neil Magni by submission at plus two thousand. If Neil, neil Magni always has a heavy gas tank dude Like. One thing he always has is cardio. Alright, we haven't seen Ian Ian's cardio yet, or, or we haven't seen it tested yet. You know, I know he's got some decision wins. But against a gas tank like Neil, if Neil can push the pace, get him tired. Dude, neil Magni is going to go for the best Triangles dars, rear naked guillotine. It's a hell, mary. But I think that the biscuit is worth the risk, bro. So I'm going to risk it for the biscuit I'm going to put. I'm just going to go 100 on this. I'm going to go, magni, by sub at plus 2000. I'm going to go 100. So that leaves me with 700 still.
Speaker 2:You're going to put it all in the last two fights.
Speaker 1:I'm going to have to dog I'm going to have to.
Speaker 2:Alright, I'm going to do Neil Magni by decision which is plus five fifty. I'm going to put it in the last 250 bucks.
Speaker 1:I like that one too, dog, I think that's a safe one. Yeah, yeah, I'm going to do 100 on that one, so that leaves me with six. Alright that leaves. And then what? Did you do Magni by points yeah.
Speaker 2:Plus five same one plus five fifty and you're doing 100.
Speaker 1:Two hundred, Okay. 250.
Speaker 3:Alright if you guys are doing it, I'll do a new Magni to win in round three for plus 3400. Let me get uh. Let me do uh two 200 on the back.
Speaker 1:That's exactly how you ended up Chinese for the two in the morning in TJ, because are you doing that, magni, to win round three plus 3400? Is that what you said? Yes, yes.
Speaker 2:Alright, so I'm going to grab another drink. I'll be right back.
Speaker 1:Yeah, do it, do it, okay, one, two. This man, all four. Hey, real, raise your hand if you're here for this one. Oh yeah, I definitely. I am. Let's take a look at their records. Dude St Cheetos been in the UFC for a hot minute dating, but I I wasn't able to fit his entire record on here going all the way back to August 8th 2015. There's one more fight that he's been fighting for, so he's been fighting for a minute, obviously coming in off of a lot that Corey Sandhake and lost by split decision. But really should have been unanimous, right guys? Yeah, yeah, he got tooled, but before that he was on a one, two, three, four, five winning streak, with finishes over Dominic Cruz, a unanimous decision win over Rob Font, ko over Frankie Edgar and a decision win over Davey and a win over Chris Gutierrez by unanimous decision. For that he had the Ipoc with Sugar Sean and then before that, he was on back to back losses with with Dominic Cruz and Jose Aldo. Gentlemen, moneyline, scott, cheeto, vera as a minus two or five favorite. Pedro Munoz, a plus one fifty eight underdog. Cheeto says he's not going to come in with the same game plan that he's had in the last shot. Gentlemen, who wants? I'm not going to be able to win. Is there anything on this page that entices you Look at those big numbers, bro Bedro, to win in round three plus 2600. So if you can pull off a sub or a TKO plus 2600, that could win the whole show for you, bro.
Speaker 3:Yes, see how I sold them on that one.
Speaker 1:Cuz See how I got the whole sack on that. Put the bag on it.
Speaker 2:You know what? Let's forget all my other bets. Put the whole.
Speaker 1:You know, what I'm put a thousand dollars, flying triangle plus 55000. I believe in you, pedro.
Speaker 2:Alright, you laugh now, just wait, what do you?
Speaker 1:guys think you guys think this is going to be a finish? Do you think this is going to go to a point where you see a sub or TKO?
Speaker 2:or KO.
Speaker 3:TKO.
Speaker 2:I think it'll be decision Decision I think it's a safe bet, it's only a three round bet. So do they. Apparently I was going to say so do they, because if you're looking at it, go back. So if you look at Cheetah winning by points, it's only a plus 105, and if you have Bedro winning by points, it's plus 240. So you know what?
Speaker 1:Yeah, that's true?
Speaker 2:Um, you know what I'm going to go? Think I made up my mind.
Speaker 1:I'm going to go Cheeto round three win plus fourteen, I'm plus fourteen hundred.
Speaker 2:Oh, I'm going to do 250 on that, I mean look at the next I'm going to do 300.
Speaker 3:Alright, so I'm going to. I'm just going to just because, just because I can, I'm doing 100 to combat a fondos bet of Pedro by submission four plus fourteen hundred two.
Speaker 1:Bedro Sub Brown. Bedro Sub Brown.
Speaker 2:Bedro Sub Brown. Just you just oh just submission.
Speaker 3:Bedro by submission. Okay, bedro, just that's it right.
Speaker 2:Yeah, that's plus fourteen hundred Alright.
Speaker 3:Okay.
Speaker 2:So I'm doing the opposite of Fondo. Alright, bizarro, freaking.
Speaker 1:I like I last show. I really like I hit something on this one earlier, so check this out.
Speaker 3:Fuck that, change that, change that Do. I'm going to do various various submission Um round two for plus forty three hundred. Same same bed amount.
Speaker 1:Plus forty three hundred. Okay, yes, the round two and you're going to get that one hundred, so you still have two hundred left.
Speaker 2:Yeah, Alright, so I should. You would just keep those in your pocket. You end up with two hundred dollars a whole night Just wait till my last day, just wait till my last day. It's going to say you're going to lose, man, just keep it two hundred dollars.
Speaker 1:You end up with two hundred dollars at the end of the night and you're going to lose Right Probably will.
Speaker 2:That's that. That'll be my strategy next time. Oh, I just won't spend any of it.
Speaker 1:Alright, man, I'm going. I'm going with what the fanboy enemy wants and I want to see violence, bro. I want to see Cheeto Fuck shit up and show him. I want to see him for a title shot. And if Sean pulls off the upset like some people think, I want Sean because that's what he needs to show. Dude, like right now. Corey Sandhake is injured. Who else is injured? Songed Dong is injured, umar Narmarga met off his injury, rafa just got beat up. There's so many fighters that aren't able to fight, so this is early enough in the year. They're going to make them defend the strap before the end of the year, or early, or like January, february, and Cody's not. Cody should get the next, or Corey should get the next title shot, but he's going to be out till like August next year. There's no way he's going to be able to make it. So the door is wide open for Cheeto to come in, kick that shit down. But he's got a show. He cannot make a boring fight like he did last time. He can't make a boring fight. He's got that knockout power, dude. The only thing is, pedro Munoz is a son of a bitch. He's a tough dude and he's not going to go out like that. Let's look at his record.
Speaker 2:Yeah when now when you go.
Speaker 1:Hey well, maybe the ref don't see, but look at his losses. He's got a lost by decision, lost by decision, lost by split, lost by decision, lost by. He's never been finished, bro, so maybe you can get a little bit of money. So, KO, round three for plus 1900 and I'm going to go three hundred dollars, bro. Alright, two fights left. This was the last second replacement. We talked a little bit about this last week, fonzo Day. Mom Blackshear was the only the third fighter in the UFC to hit that famous fighter. I'm going to say almost zero damage, but I think he got caught by that elbow that helped him set up the twister. So Mario Batista was originally supposed to be taking on Cody Garbrand, but that is not happening. Sorry, gentlemen, that I don't have any information on either of these guys and I don't know anything about them. And there's the money line, but I'm not touching this one just because I don't know enough about these guys. And even if I don't know enough, I'm going to get Damon coming in on seven days notice dude, no, come on. Yeah, and he's going to have to make weight again. That's, that's rough dude.
Speaker 2:You know how it is, remember, unless he's one of those dudes that just fights very close to his weight already, maybe, but yeah, who knows?
Speaker 1:you know, I mean, but if Tony Ferguson couldn't fight that and he had two camps, this guy's going to do it one week apart. I don't know, man, that's sounds like a bad idea to me. But hey, he's going to get paid and you know Dana wants that, so I'm not touching this one. Mario Batista, damon Black Shear I'm surprised this is on the pay per view. I thought they were going to move it down and put Chris Whiteman on, so let's do it Alright. Last one, last one. I believe this is on the prelims. So the return of Chris Whiteman after turning his leg into linguiney. Who on who? Who did? Who did that happen? Who is that? With who is he fighting? When he busted his leg? And we look, jamie, can you tell us what?
Speaker 2:it was, uh, it was against.
Speaker 1:Oh, why am I? I'm sorry, fonzo, I have it right here. You're right. Yes, I'm testing you, fonzo, you take too long it's Google, oh, google to forever. Ah, stupid Google, it's chat Gpt cutting in, slowing him down. So Chris White been coming in with off of that loss back in 2021, but he's still in the lead. He's in the lead. He's in the lead of the three Akimadov, and then back to back losses over Dominic Reyes and Jaco Reysoza, and then he did have a win over Kelvin back in 2017. Uh, let's look at Brad Tavares. Brad Tavares coming in off of back to back losses recently, or TKO loss to Bruno Silva in round two, and then he's gotta win over the same Omari that Chris Weidman got a decision win over, except he got a split decision win back in July of 2021. And then he's got a decision win over Antonio Carlos Jr. And then back to back losses over with, uh, edmund against Edmund Shabazzian and then Israel Adesanya, and I think that might have been. Is he's first or second in the lead? Alright, alright. So the money is coming in on Brad Tavares minus two ninety favorite and Weidman a plus two fifteen underdog. Check out those props, gentlemen. A lot of questions on how good you got a lot.
Speaker 2:All right, let's see. So we got Whiteman.
Speaker 1:So I'm the ice cream man, Fonzo. What are you looking for? Are you looking for a TKO finish? Are you looking for a sub? Are you looking for a decision? What are you looking for?
Speaker 2:I'm looking for a knockout.
Speaker 1:Knockout. All right, here's TKO KO round combos. Check these out over here on the right. I really really like these TKO KO round one or two plus 1,000. Tko KO round two or three plus 1,500. And this one does have an over under, but it's not looking.
Speaker 2:Yes, not very good.
Speaker 1:Yeah, I don't think that Savars will sub Whiteman, because Whiteman is a damn good grappler dude. He had a super fight against Andre Galvao at ADCC, so his grappling's only gotten better, so I'm sure he'll be able to defend against anything Tavares is going to have. However, if there's a chink in the armor of Tavares, it could be his submission defense, you know.
Speaker 3:Whiteman is super. I'm going for 100. Chris Whiteman, submission round three or plus 4,900.
Speaker 1:Oh nice, I like that. I like that. I could totally see that happening, because and I like that dude I'm going to do that as well. So you're going to go, whiteman.
Speaker 3:Submission round three plus 4,900.
Speaker 1:Round three plus 4,900. And you had 200 left. Are you going to put all 200 on it? No just I'm doing 100.
Speaker 3:Okay, 100.
Speaker 1:Bonzo, are you touched? Yeah, do you have anything left? I?
Speaker 2:do I do? I'm telling you about Ant because he's still got going to be paying on to $100.
Speaker 3:Oh yeah, yeah, you still have $100 left, because so yeah, but I haven't told you that I'm betting my last hundred dollars that my picks are going to beat Bonzo's picks.
Speaker 2:Oh, all right.
Speaker 1:All right, I'm going to give you because this is your first time on doing this I'm going to give you plus 300 on that. All right, let's do it All right. All right, bonzo, what are you doing, dog?
Speaker 2:All right, you know what I'm going to do, ratsovaris to win by KO TKO rounds two or three at plus three, 80. And I'm going to do $100 on that because with my last hundred dollars, what are you doing? What are you doing? My bet is that none of I don't make any winners. Exactly None of your bets will pan out.
Speaker 1:All right, I'm going to give you the same odds, then All right, I can't wait till the next show. You won't have to wait very long. You won't have to wait very long, all right. So $100 that Ant doesn't hit any picks.
Speaker 2:Got it.
Speaker 1:Plus 300. All right, all right, my last bet. I'm going. I have 300 left. I'm going Chris Whiteman to win in by sub round three, just like cousin Ant at plus 4900. And I'm going to bet $200. With my last hundred dollars. I don't know who's going to win here, brad or Whiteman, but I feel like it's going to go to a decision. So I'm going to go that the fight is going to end on points at plus 105. And I'm going to put my last hundred dollars on that. Watch that be the only pick that I hit and I win everything, because nobody's going to hit anything. That would be ridiculous. Oh man, well, gentlemen, that's the last fight. Two more sleeps, bros. Two more sleeps. Anything you want to say before we wrap this episode up?
Speaker 2:Oh, man this. She was hella fun like always, and yeah, and can't wait We'll see you on Sunday, Ant yeah man, I was excited.
Speaker 3:I was excited before, but now I'm really excited. I'm going to be looking out riding these wins down Next. Next time I'm on a show, I'm going to wear dollar sign glasses, sunglasses All right, and we like to say quick said if it don't make dollars, it don't make sense.
Speaker 1:Hey join us Sunday for the next week, actually Monday morning for next week's episode, and see how we did on the UFC 292 Parley Super Show. Picks until Monday Combat crew out. Peace, All right guys, good shit, all right guys, all right guys.
