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July 7, 2023

UFC 290 Picks & Parlay Super Show

UFC 290 Picks & Parlay Super Show

Join us on this special Friday edition of Chingasos Combat Crew, where we're tackling everything from early prelims to the main card.  The boys have a $1000 budget to see who can generate the most coin from this weekends UFC 290 card. Monmey lines and parlays EXPLORED!
   As we move on, we'll be examining the records of Jailen Turner vs. Dan Hooker, gearing up for an epic showdown at UFC 290. Can Turner extend his winning streak, or will Hooker turn the tables? We're placing our bets on Turner, but there's always room for a surprise! From there, we'll analyze Dricus Du Plessis' previous matches and lay out the odds for his face-off againstBobby Knuckles.
   We wrap up the episode with a deep dive into UFC 290's co-main event – Brandon Moreno vs Alexander Pantoja, and the much-anticipated fight between Volkanovski and Yair Rodriguez. ? We explore yair training regime, record, and all possible outcomes. This is an episode jam-packed with insight, predictions, and pure UFC thrill! Don't miss out!

Thanks for listening, follow us on Instagram & YouTube @C_CombatCrew
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Transcript
Speaker 1:

Welcome to a special Friday edition of Chinggastu's Combat Crew. It's our UFC 290 Parley Super Show. We're ready to break down the main card, break down some fights on the prelims and look for where we might be able to make a little bit of mula. I look deep into the realms of my bookie Fonzo. I pulled out all the Parleys that they had any chance that we might have to make a little bit of coin. Bro, are you ready to play this game? I got a little game for us to play. We're going to play with some pretend money thousand bucks a piece. Let's see whose picks can generate the most money and we'll review this once again on our Monday's episode. You ready to do this, bro? Yeah, man, let's do it. Oh, yeah, all right. So let's see. First fight that I wanted to talk about is on the early prelims, and that would be your boy, edgar Echolochaitis, taking on. So, edgar Echolochaitis taking on Tatsuro Taira. This was a kind of last minute replacement. What did he get? Like two week notice, maybe.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, something like that man. It wasn't even that long.

Speaker 1:

That's that's. you know that's playing against Edgar. It's also going to be a catchweight bout, so luckily he's not going to have to cut too much weight. I'm not sure what the cap, what the weight cut was. Maybe we can find that out in a little bit. But the only odds that I could find on my bookie and anywhere else pretty much FanDuel draft kings. they're all around the same thing. So I'm just going to stick with my bookie because that's what I use to play a little. But feel free to shop around out there And if you hear of some better rates over a better site where you can get more for bank for your book, hey let us know. Drop us a DM Bolchopantera on IG or at C underscore combat crew on IG. For those of you listening, thank you, and for those of you watching or you want to know where to watch, you can head over to our YouTube channel. check us out at C underscore combat crew Fonzo. getting back to the money line, here Looks like Tida is a huge favorite at a minus 1111 favorite, edgar Cholochitis coming in as a plus five, 89 underdog. It looks like the over under on this is at plus 107 for going over one and a half rounds and a minus 136 for going under one and a half rounds. So it looks like Vegas thinks this is going to end before the third round. my man.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, yeah, yeah, man, like I said during our show last man, there's definitely going to be a tough fight for Chaitis. So, listically, you know, and just because it's such a short notice fight, however, man can scrap, man can scrap. Okay, so here's my pick for this fight. Okay, so we're playing with it with the G right, One K. That was our agreement.

Speaker 1:

One K.

Speaker 2:

All right. So what I'm doing is I'm dropping a bill on my boy Chaitis, to win the fight via KO Boom.

Speaker 1:

Take it to the bank. So let me write this down in my little notebook here.

Speaker 2:

All right All right, fonzo.

Speaker 1:

All right, you're taking Chaitis. Yep 100 bucks KO, all right. So now you're left with 900. All right, i'm not going to pick this one, i'm going. I mean, if I had to, i would. I mean you got to put a lot of money on on Tatsuro to end it to get, i mean just to get a hundred bucks back. You got to put $1,111. So if there's a play here, it's like Fonzo. You know what I mean. You're just trying to see what you can get. And and Chaitis is that dog dude. He is that dude. He can turn this into an ugly ass fight, just like you said, in a split second, dude. He causes that chaos and throws just his just two shits to the wind and he just goes for it. Man, and that could play both ways. That could get him in trouble or that could play off, pay off in huge, huge ways by putting money in Fonzo's pocket. So I think I already I don't know if I've made this pick on the show, on last week's show already, but I'm going to. I'm not going to put any money on this one Now. I might pick for this one is Tatsuro. All right, gosh man, I don't. I don't, i don't know. I don't know enough. I've never watched a lot of his fights other than I know he's scrappy, i know he's got a really good ground game, but I don't know where his takedowns are. I don't know where his takedowns are And I know, i'm sure that Edgar's been working his wrestling. I know he's been practicing and training with Brandon. Probably has to say a lot over there with the Mexican squad And you know they're going to be ready for anything he might. So if, if he can turn the tide in this fight, it's going to be by keeping it on the feet. So I'm interested to see how Tatsuro is going to get this to the ground, because that's his bread and butter. I don't know how good his standup is, just because we haven't seen he hasn't had to use it. You know, he really hasn't had, hasn't had to use it, and and we'll see, we'll see if Edgar can take him to the deep waters and make him stand in bang. So this is going to be a bomber. This is going to be a great way to start to fight the Knights off. Again, i'm not touching it. I'm not touching it with my, with my money roll, but if, if I had to, i would. I would play just like you, dude, 100 bucks on Chaitis.

Speaker 2:

Cool, all right. So skipping this one. All right, let's go on to the next fight, all right?

Speaker 1:

Jimmy crew taking on Alonzo Menafil Dude. I completely forgot that these guys already fought one time and fought to a draw.

Speaker 2:

Right.

Speaker 1:

But I kind of thought that Alonzo won that fight. I didn't. I wasn't too. I didn't go back and watch it again just because there's. I was watching a lot of other stuff, but Vegas is thinking I actually let's go over their records here. So obviously they fought each other not too long ago, right, fight each other to a draw. But Jimmy crew has is coming off back to back losses right Prior to that, i believe, because I think the last time they fought was the fight to the draw. No, Yeah. All right. So, looking at Alonzo Menafil's record, he he is coming off wins, in spectacular fashion, i might add. You know what I mean. He is fighting lesser competition, but he's doing exactly what you should be doing You know what I mean Whereas Jimmy crew is doing exactly what you should be. What should be getting done to you when you're fighting the upper echelon fighters, which is getting dusted? So how does that care? How does that compare when these two step into the cage again? I think that Alonzo is going to reap the rewards from being confident, coming off back to back wins by finish, and he already has that, that record of, or that experience of, fighting Jimmy crew in the past, and I think that he felt that he got the better of him. I'm going to I'd have to go with Alonzo in this one dude. What about you?

Speaker 2:

So you're putting any money on this one or no?

Speaker 1:

I wouldn't put any money just because I don't think it's really there's any value in it. You know what I mean. Like Alonzo's at a plus one or four. So if I put a bill down, i'm only making $4 in return, yeah, whereas you, on the other hand, with that chai days fight, you put it down $100 for a chance to return, a plus 589 return.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, exactly.

Speaker 1:

If you're a gambler and you know what you're doing, you're you're. You're just better off fighting or putting your money down on the Edgar fight, just because there's a bigger chance to win and you never know. You know what I mean. Hell Mary, something crazy bad judges decision you never, never know. In this case, again, i'm going to stay away. Just because the numbers don't favor, don't make it interesting to me Like I don't know. There's just nothing enticing about this. The over under Vegas looks like they're thinking that it's going to be under two and a half rounds because it's at minus 263. So that means you got to put down 263 bucks to win $100 because you think the fight's going to let end in less than three rounds, right, or plus one, and actually this might be pretty good. It was a slobber knocker fight the last time they both fought, but I don't remember ever getting close to being finished. Am I wrong on that one? I mean.

Speaker 2:

I don't think so either.

Speaker 1:

They, they, they were putting a beat down on each other, but nobody ever jumped in to the point where they were close to stopping the fight. So at plus 196, that might be like that's, that might be automatic dude, Like this fight is for sure going to go to decision. So, yeah, I mean maybe I'm going to change my mind on this. Plus 196. That's almost two to one, So I'm going to. I'm going to dip my toe in Fonzo and I'm going to say I'm going to play the over on the Alonzo Menafil fight. I'm going to say over two and a half rounds at $100.

Speaker 2:

Okay, so your bet is just basically is going to go over winner.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, i'm not picking a winner, i'm just saying this is going to go to decision. Yeah So so I'm betting $100 to win back 196. Yeah.

Speaker 2:

Over. Okay, can you set 100?

Speaker 1:

Yes, cool. All right, my man, do you want to put down any money on this?

Speaker 2:

No, i'm not putting any money on this one. Yeah, no, i, okay, but I, i agree with you. I think Alonzo will. I I'm favoring him to win this fight. I do think it's going to go to decision, but I also don't want to put any money on it, even on the over or under, simply because I don't know. Yeah, they weren't close to knocking each other out last time, but it doesn't mean that they can't.

Speaker 1:

For reals.

Speaker 2:

And if somebody does it?

Speaker 1:

I think Alonzo can. Right, he's totally capable of doing it.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, so, and that's the only reason I'm not I like living on the edge baby. I know Well, yeah, I mean you have to when you gamble. You know what I mean. Like, if you're gambling for real, you got to take some chances right, it's like stocks as well. man, If you're going to be day trading and stuff like that, you got to, you got to know what you're doing. You know, you got to know what the bets are, but you also want to have enough of a risk to be able to be worth your fun.

Speaker 1:

So all right, my man Next fight. This has been another late replacement fight. I cannot believe that the main car had lightning strike not only once but twice. Dude, that is some bullshit.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, bullshit, so disappointed, so disappointed.

Speaker 1:

JDM was supposed to take on. Who was he supposed to take on? Rich Lee, my dude. Yes, there you go Sean Brady. So originally JDM was supposed to take on Tom Brady, fresh off of his divorce with Giselle Bunchkin. Unfortunately, he said that he needed more time to prepare. So Josiah Harrell is stepping up. So that's good and bad. Good because this is going to be like the macho rooster fight, taking on the brand new rooster on the block and he is about to get dusted. I'm sorry, josiah, but a what a way to make a splashing the UFC dude, because no matter what this is kind of, it could be a potential win-win for him. You know, remember when not if it's a beat down exactly I was just about to say. I was just about to say remember when Chris Mui tunnel stepped in last minute and fight. Oh yeah, oh my gosh, his brains beat out for like 2.85 rounds of UFC time. I practically had his brain leaking out of his nose. This could be that, i don't know. But you know, if Josiah puts up a little bit of a fight, you know, and and makes it I'm not saying makes it competitive, but but keeps the ass whooping to a minimum, if he can do that, hey, that's a win, dude. And you know, dan, it's going to pay him back.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, yeah, you're right, you're right. I just think that I hate that this happened, man, because that gives my my, my man, jdm, like it does. It stalls him out like he's not going to go anywhere. You know what I mean? Like, even if it's a big beat down, he's not moving up in the rankings from this fight. No, no.

Speaker 1:

Let's look at the odds. There's not too much. There's not too many parlays or plays on this right now. Jdm again do. another heavy, heavy favorite, a minus 1111 Josiah Harrell. Plus 583. Underdog looking at the over under Vegas is saying this is definitely not going to last more than two rounds. So don't go to the bathroom. Minus 263 that the fight does not go more than two rounds. Plus 199 if you believe the fight's going to go over that. So hey, you could double your money on that. Fonzo, what do you think? you think that Josiah is going to be able to hang around for more than two and a half minutes into round two?

Speaker 2:

No, no, i'm not. I'm not betting on this one either. There isn't like. I just don't think, josiah, now you know.

Speaker 1:

I don't know. I don't know enough about Josiah Sorry Josiah but I do know enough about JDM to know that this is probably not going to last for a very long time And the money, the numbers that I'm seeing on my bookie and fan duel and everywhere, everywhere else, do not at all entice me to come around.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, yeah, exactly.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, I'm going to stay away. This is going to be JDM all day by whatever, however he wants. If he wants to finish it by KOTK, that's what he's going to do. If he wants to finish it by submission, that's what he's going to do. I kind of feel like that. Agreed. Yeah just two guys on two completely different trajectories. I mean this one I'm not really. I mean, honestly, is there what's the drop off in competition here? Because we have this was supposed to be bone nickel taking on Tray Sean Gore. I don't know what happened to Tray Sean. He dropped out from injury and last minute replacement fighter, val Woodburn, is taking on bone nickel. I don't know much about Val And I get and there's not much Yeah dude bone. nickel is the biggest favorite on this entire card, possibly the biggest favorite in a ever long as time Ever. What number made you laugh out loud, literally right now the 2,500, negative 2,500. Yeah, so it's a heavy minus 2,500, favorite in this and Valentine Woodburn, by the way, valentine, one of my favorite towns in red dead rejection to check that shit out Coming in at a heavy underdog at a plus 916. Unfortunately, that town gets shot up and burned down a lot, which is probably what's going to happen to Valentine tomorrow, and I I'm not touching this with the 10 full pole bro.

Speaker 2:

Well, this is like like getting a baby piglet and put it in the lion's den. That's exactly what's going on here. No, bro, this is even worse.

Speaker 1:

This is like in Jurassic Park, when they dropped off that. Go in the. You're like what do you know? And he's like you know what I mean? Like oh, that was a slaughter, that's what this is going to be. And I was watching the press conference earlier and and Valentine's like let's go to war, let's go, let's go. And bull nickels like oh, i don't, i don't, i don't know if it's going to be a war, but it's going to, it's going to be a war, It's going to, it's going to be something. And Valentine's go, it's going to be something. So he's trying to, he's, he's enjoying a man.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, i was going to say you got to, you got to go for it.

Speaker 1:

You got to go for it, you got to ball to the wall, bro, if you can even last the two rounds, which doesn't even look like my book. He believes it's going to go past the first round, because they're not even giving us an over under for anything. They're like don't even bother, just go to the next fight. Can you imagine, though? Can you imagine, bro, craziest fight ever? You know what I mean? Like that would be a major, for sure biggest upset of the year, 100%.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, 100%, all right.

Speaker 1:

Next fight sticking on to the main card now, oh, so just really quick.

Speaker 2:

We're not. I'm not betting on that one. You're not betting on that one. I'm not betting.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, i'm not touching. Yeah, valentine, okay, we each have $900 left in our pockets to play with And I think we got like four fights to go. So this is going to go fast and furious, then diesel style. So, family, introduce the next fight. My man.

Speaker 2:

Next fight is Mr Jalen Turner versus Dan Hooker Going to be a freaking battle. Man. I'm super stoked about this And I'm definitely putting in some cash on this. Even though the odds aren't great, there's this still enough for me to kind of be excited about, And I'll tell you why in a little bit. So let's go over this, Can you go? Yeah?

Speaker 1:

let's? yeah, definitely. Let's look at the records real quick. I'm just going to go. I mean I got if you're watching this on YouTube, you can see we got their like last one, two, three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, 10 fights, each up on there on the screen right now. For those of you listening, we'll just go back, go down there last three fights. So Jalen's coming off of split decision loss to Matthias Gamera. Before that, though, he was on a one, two, three, four, five fight winning streak, most recently submission win over Brad Riedel in round one and a TKO win over Jamie Malarkey in round two. Things have not been going so well for our boy Dan Hooker, who's fortunately coming off of a win class. Fought Claudio Puellis and won by TKO body kick at UFC 281. Finished that dude off in round two, but before that he was coming off back to back losses, one to Arnold Allen by TKO round one and the other to Islam Mahaka, chef in round one of UFC 267. So there's their records. You know. Obviously Dan Hooker's been has, the more experience He's been in the UCL, a lot longer fought, stronger competition. Jalen Turner, young guy up and coming, has fought some pretty good fighters. He's pretty good guys. He's got a fight against Vicente Luque, matt Frevolla, unfortunately, and both of those are losses, but they one of them did go a full three rounds And the other one was a short night of work for him. But, dude, he hung in there with Matthias and I'm impressed, right, i heard a video clip of him earlier He was getting. He was being interviewed by. I forgot who he said he was training with, with I don't know if he said market shift or with Chamiah, i can't remember, but whoever he's training with, he's training heavy, heavy wrestling dude. So I don't know if that's the route he's going to take. I don't know if he thinks that's the chink and Dan Hooker's armor, which I mean it's shown up time and time again, but who you taking in this one of my man? check out these odds, by the way. So let us should, before you, tell us who you're going for. Should we share these parlays? because my bookie really turned up the key on these last few fights by giving us lots of plays, lots of parlays. So, if we're looking at just the regular Moneyline, jalen Turner is a heavy favorite, minus 285, dan Hooker plus 215 underdog. The over under on this is it's pretty, even on the on both sides. I'm not sure where they think this is going. The under one and a half round mark is at minus 107, while the over one and a half round mark is at minus 117. So it's it's kind of 5050 there, you know there's not really value in that at all. Going over ways of wins met with method winning method. Jalen Turner by KO plus 169. Jalen Turner by submission plus 176. Jalen Turner by submission plus 176. Jalen Turner by decision plus 400. Draw plus 2500. Hooker by KO plus 590. Dan Hooker by submission plus 1500. Dan Hooker by decision plus 420. And then will the fight go the distance plus 213. Yes, no minus 270. Bonzo, you said you want to put some money down on this. What do you think? Am I dude?

Speaker 2:

I do, man, and I think the safest bet that also gives me the best return for my book is going to be Jalen Turner by KO. That's what I'm putting down 200 bucks.

Speaker 1:

So let me, i want to go back. I like that, but you know what I was thinking to. just for a value.

Speaker 2:

So, I'll tell you why I can tell you why I decided to pick that out of best safest bet, best bang for my buck. Because if you look at the losses that Dan Hooker's had, most of them have been by TKO or KO. So he's been, he's been, you know, finished in that manner more often than Jalen Turner. So that's kind of my reasoning here. He's got the skills and he's been training the wrestling that could be a way for him to ground and pound and get the KO stoppage or TKO stoppage. So to me that makes the most sense. All right, it'll give me enough that I could see like, oh, i get an OK profit out of it. It's not great, but it's enough for me to be like, yeah, i can drop 200 on this fight.

Speaker 1:

I like this. I love the numbers that my bookie is throwing at me on this dude, this is redunk, this is like. This is like the dude on the corner of the strip with the flyers And he's like bro, i know what you want, i got it right here. Bam, bam, bam. I'm like bro, stop, stop singing my song, stop, i'm kidding, i'm kidding. I. I think that Jalen has every possibility of finishing this early, but I love that. Plus 400, jaylen Turner by decision. Dude, that is like a lot of money coming my way. You know, if we were to play this in real life, i know that Jaylen has that TKO power, but if we look at the people he's TKO'd, i don't know who they are. So I mean to say that he could TKO Dan Hooker, i don't know. I mean, arnold Allen did him. Arnold Allen is a beast. Is Jaylen on the level of Arnold Allen? Not quite yet. Nasra, hop, hop, i don't know how to say that dude's name. That dude was on another level too. That would be a good fight between him and Jaylen, you know, but that's neither here nor there. Fonzo And Dan Hooker was able to withstand that beating. Ah, dude, i'm going for. I'm just gonna go for it. I'm gonna put 200 on Jaylen to win by decision on this one. Just because, dude, if he wins by decision, if somehow Dan Hooker can survive and not get merked, that's 800 bucks return on my $200. So I'm finding value in that song. I'm gonna play this one. So let me write down your pick. You're going Dan Hooker.

Speaker 2:

Jaylen. No, i'm going Jaylen by KO 200.

Speaker 1:

Jaylen Turner KO. You're betting 200? 200. All right, And that is a plus 169. Plus 169,.

Speaker 2:

yeah, all right. So yeah, that gives me plenty of scratch for now. I mean, that gives me enough scratch, that I'm okay.

Speaker 1:

All right, so I'm also going Jaylen Turner and I'm gonna go decision. I'm going 200 bucks to return, a plus 400 each. So yeah, if my greediness pays off, then that's gonna work out for me well. So we'll see. We'll see, i don't know. All right man, all right. Next card dude. We should have three main events on this fight 100% man Dude you need to take a break or anything. Are you ready to just keep going?

Speaker 2:

No, let's go.

Speaker 1:

All right, let's do this. should be like I said we should have three main events. This deserves the people deserve to see five rounds of this, because this could be a five round slaughter. But DDP doesn't think so, dude. Like he's been so confident all week in the every interview and the press conference today, it's like he's he knows something we don't and that's kind of. I mean, i'm not going to say it worries me, but I'm going to pay a little more closer attention to this. I haven't seen the numbers on the parlay yet. So what my bookie has given us, but let's look at their records here, fonzo. So go over their last three fights each for us, if you can do.

Speaker 2:

Yeah for sure. So we're starting off with Robert Whitaker. Mr Bobby Knuckles, his last fight was a win against Marvin Vittori via unanimous decision, and then after that he had a loss against Izzy Adesanya, again unanimous decision, and then a win after that, but against Kevin Gashelm, also unanimous decision. And once we jump over to DDP, we got. His last fight was a win against Eric Brunson via TKO corner stoppage, and then we have a win against Darren Till submissions via face crank, and then a win via against sorry, against Brad Tavares via unanimous decision. So yeah, ddp is on a freaking steamroll path. So you know what I mean. This is going to be a good fight, man. I'm excited for it, but we all know what Bobby Knuckles can do.

Speaker 1:

Dude, let me, before you we make go into pigs before we go into parades, let me tell you that I spent a little more time watching both of these guys. Okay, i went back and I watched Vittori versus Whitaker. Dude, bobby Knuckles beat the fuck out of Vittori The first round pretty close, yeah. Second round it just got worse. Third round got even worse. Dude, i mean that beating was so bad. I think that might be part of the reason why Vittori looks so bad in his last fight. I don't think he recovered.

Speaker 2:

And Vittori's got a freaking block hit. You know what I? mean So he wasn't going to, he's not going to freaking, put him away.

Speaker 3:

No.

Speaker 2:

So that just a beat down, a beat down. It's like that was, yeah it crazy.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, Crazy dude. And then so, and then I went back and I watched Dreykus' last two fights. I watched his fight against Darren Till and I watched his fight against Derek Brunson. Bro, do you remember watching these fights?

Speaker 2:

Dude I I. If I start watching them, I'll remember the fight, but it just right now. It's a blur.

Speaker 1:

They were kind of. They were a while back. So he fought Darren Till back in December of 2022. I don't remember That was on the pre-lens. That was Darren Till's last fight in the UFC. We all know what Darren Till used to be capable of, but that he's been a shell of himself. So this was I almost feel like this was the UFC softballing giving, giving Dreykus a softball matchup, and in the first round it totally looked like that. Dreykus just freaking, overwhelmed Darren Till, dude. He practically emptied the gas tank, just beat the shit out of him for the for five minutes. I think Darren landed not even five punches the whole first round. I don't remember what Dreykus landed, but he landed so much and he was landing some powerful shots, dude. But the ref never, ever, looked like he was going to jump in to stop the fight. Even at one point Darren Till gave the ref a thumbs up with the hand he was using to block and took some shots to the face and kept the thumbs up. Bro, round one was a definite loss. It depends who you ask. It could be looked at as a 10-8, possibly, cause I think he did take him down. I think he got a take down in there. But he got back up and then he came back out for round two and then Darren Till beat the shit out of Dreykus. So after two rounds this was even dude. And then in the third round, i think that Dreykus shot in for a sneaky take down underneath a punch from Darren Till and he wasn't able to get up. For some reason, darren turned it, gave up his back, gave up that rear naked, and in round one he got caught in the rear naked and fought it off. And this time for some reason maybe he was injured, maybe he just wanted to get out of the fight, i don't know but he tapped out right away to a neck crank, all right. So Darren took him to the edge, but not quite over, and, just like in round one, the ref did not get close to stopping the fight. It didn't look like it, at least in my, from my perspective Going up against Derek Brunson. I think that Derek Brunson exposed a little bit of Dreykus' game dude, because a lot of people are on Dreykus' nuts for his ground game And maybe he's like a white belt, blue belt. you know what I mean. So if you're a good white belt, a good blue belt, and you're just going up against white belts and blue belts. How are you going to perform, bonzo?

Speaker 2:

Pretty well.

Speaker 1:

Pretty well, you're going to look good And people are going to think that's how you are all the time. But what happens? when you try white belt, blue belt moves against, say, a brown belt or even a purple belt, you get bow and arrow. That could happen. That could potentially happen. I remember in round one, derek Brunson got a pretty easy takedown on Dreykus, got him in, got into side control And within seconds of getting into side control, instead of trying to reestablish a guard, instead of trying to create space, he did what every typical white belt does when they go up against a smaller opponent. When a smaller opponent gets a larger opponent inside control and the smaller opponent is on top, what does the bigger guy always try to do when they don't have good technique? Try to buck them off. Exactly, they just use monster strength and just Frankenstein their way out of it. No, yeah, well, that's exactly what Dreykus tried to do And Brunson just shut that shit down like get that out of here. So, if I'm sorry, brunson was not able to capitalize on that. It seemed like he gassed out. He was getting the best of Dreykus, but towards the end of the second round, and even a little bit in the first round. He did take some shots, but he just looked like he got gassed out. Dreykus ended up taking doing what he always does, came back and finished him off. Now, if Derek Brunson and Darren Till can take Dreykus to that edge like that dude, there's no doubting my mind that Bobby Knuckles is going to do that Right. I mean, that's heavy, heavy MMA math. But I have not seen anything in Dreykus's game that leads me to believe something different. You know what I mean. How do you think Dreykus would do against Joel Romero when Joel was at his prime, bro? No, he gets teamrolled, he would get merked. How would I heard somebody saying earlier dude, if Dreykus fights Jared Cannon here, he's going to take him down all day. I don't know, i don't know about that, i don't know. That would be a good. That would have been a good fight to see too. You know what I mean. But yeah, let's look at these odds. My bookies got Bobby Knuckles as a heavy minus four, 16 favorite. Dreykus as a plus two, 92 underdog. The over under on this, they're saying this is going to go. Looks like they're thinking under two and a half rounds because they got the under at minus one, 63, while the over is at plus one, 28. Bobby Knuckles by KO at minus 110. Bobby Knuckles by submission plus 610. Bobby Knuckles by decision plus 190, plus 2,500. That this goes down to a draw. And now let's get into the drickets odds. Drickets by KO plus 460. Drickets by submission plus 1,625, bro. Drickets by decision plus 1,025. Will the fight go the distance? plus 186, no, minus 232. Fonzo, you got $700 left. We got three fights left, bro, how are you playing this?

Speaker 2:

All right, man. So the only way that I can make this work without taking on too much risk is you. Pretty much, with this kind of fight you got to play more, thank you. You got to up your Annie here Because we know it's not gonna end in submission like by DDP. Is not gonna submit Bobby Knuckles.

Speaker 1:

Let's go back real quick and look at when was Bobby Knuckles his last win by submission? So his last win by submission.

Speaker 2:

He hasn't had one in the last ten fights Not up here.

Speaker 1:

Going all to November 27th 2016, he has not had not one submission win in the UFC. So To say that's a mission probably not gonna happen. Yeah, he just doesn't do it, doesn't like it.

Speaker 2:

No, you know so in order for me to make any money off of this and still have Have some profit, i have to go Bobby Knuckles by KO and I'm putting in 300 bucks on this. Mmm, that's I mean. I would do more, but then I also have more fights that I want to make, other bets that I want to make, so that's the only way that I'm gonna get any any good money back is By putting in a little bit more money on this fight.

Speaker 1:

So Bobby Knuckles by KO right, All right 300 bucks one ten, all right. So now you're left with 400 my man, yep, all right. Oh, one thing that I did notice about drick is he's got some Marvin Vittorio tendencies, bro. He likes to Take a lot of shots and eat him like. He just eats them like fucking snacks, bro. Okay so I don't know, are you gonna?

Speaker 2:

play the over. I'm not gonna play the. Oh yeah.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, that's what I'm thinking. You know what I mean. Just, whitaker, like for sure This is Bobby Knuckles all day and that plus 190, that's looking pretty good, plus 190. I mean, i like, i like Whitaker in this fight for sure. You know what I mean. But I just feel like the three-round favorite drick is. You know, he did get that new nose surgery So he's supposed to be breathing with a full gas tank now. I don't know if that's gonna translate into more concrete in his head. One thing I do know is that it's not gonna translate into him Putting more damage, because he's pretty sloppy dude. He likes to lunge a lot. He leaves his chin out when he throws kicks He drops his hand down. He's constantly leaving his chin out. I see Bobby Knuckles footwork, bobby Knuckles footwork. I see him creating angles and attacking, attacking, attacking. Dude, it's gonna be pretty slow in the first round, i say in the second round It's gonna be like Jesse the body Ventura lending Bobby Knuckles his gatling gun and he's just gonna like, he's just gonna fucking mow this motherfucker down for the next two rounds by round two. He's barely gonna be. He's gonna wish that he had another nose somewhere, more oxygen. But like I said I like Drick is his toughness. I think that he's gonna last all three rounds. Uh, but he it's not gonna go well for him, so I'm gonna go. Whitaker Decision. I'm gonna put another 200 on this and that's at a plus 190 Okay so I'm looking to get back. What's that? 380? Yeah, on my 200, possibly. Yeah, all right, so now I'm down to 500. Two fights left Co-main event and main event. Fonzo, you ready for this, let's go. Co-main event my dude, brandon, and baby assassin moreno taking on Alexandra Pantoja. Rematch like a mf for Brandon, oh for, against Pantoja. Pantoja coming in with all the smoke, all the confidence. I did watch the post, or the pre-fight presser, and Pantoja was asking Why does everybody hate him? The fans were booing him. I'm like, bro, you are focused on the wrong thing, dude. Yeah, who gives the fuck if they booing you? you are a bar burner, dude. I'm worried about this fight, man. I'm really worried about this fight.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, what do you think is gonna happen? Well, let me ask you Why are you worried about it?

Speaker 1:

I'm worried about if. If brand like because Pantoja comes out like a bad out of hell, like a Tasmanian devil in that round one dude, he's gonna be on Brandon like a fly on poop. And if Brandon tries to play Counter-strike her with him and doesn't keep that pace, it's gonna look bad in the judge's eyes. I don't you know. The last time they fought Brandon was a completely different fighter, but he took a major whooping and I think that was the last major whooping he's taken right.

Speaker 2:

Think about it, man. Well, not really man, because he caught a pretty bad whooping by by Davison Figueiredo, right He was. He was getting like during their draw, that first fight, yeah he. He. Then Figueiredo put it to him, dude, and he like there's a lot of people who think Brandon lost that fight, you know what I mean? um, and I mean it was, it was a close fight. I mean obviously it ended to draw for a reason, but I think those Figueiredo fights really prepared him for Alexander Pantoja.

Speaker 1:

Yes, because it's kind of he's kind of similar dude. Yeah, i feel yeah like Davison's got way more knockout power than Pantoja agreed 100%.

Speaker 2:

That's why I'm not so worried about it.

Speaker 1:

So hopefully you're right on this. Hopefully you're right on this. But one thing that sets Pantoja apart from Figueiredo Is that he uses those power shots to set up his subs, dude. So he causes chaos, he fucks them up. They have no idea what's going on. Next, you know he's on your back and that's a total possibility here. Yeah, because it happened in their last fight.

Speaker 2:

Yeah.

Speaker 1:

He was. I also think that right.

Speaker 2:

But I also think that moreno's Ground game has improved as well, especially, you know, in his training camps, i mean all the stuff that they've been working on. Um. I don't think he's at a level where he's he's gonna sub Pantoja, no way, but he'll definitely keep, keep him at bay. I think he'll be very, a lot more difficult to sub um. So I I'm not so worried about it either. Um, i mean, there's definitely a threat, but it's not considerable, i don't think.

Speaker 1:

I was talking to my wife about this because I told her she didn't believe me that he was 0 for. So I showed her And I told her she was. She was like, oh man, he's he gonna lose again. You know she's Not worried about it, but she was like she's actually into this fight. So I'm, i'm psyched about it, i'm super psyched about it. But I was telling her, i was like yo, you know what, when people first fight, like even in jiu-jitsu, you know, i mean, a white belt starts and and there's a blue belt or a purple belt there And they just they're the hammer, and then the white belt's gonna be the nail and that happens for years. But if that white belt sticks to it And perseveres and finds the right coaches and gets the right experience, He can catch up. He might not be able to catch up all the way, but he's gonna be able to close that gap. You know what I mean And this is MMA, bro, this isn't jiu-jitsu. You know what I mean? Oh, so he's able to choose a whole lot more tools that maybe he didn't have in the last, maybe he didn't have in their previous fights, and I'm talking about branding here. So I feel that you know, and the more I break down this fight, the more I think about it, the more, the more confident I do feel in branding, because he's got that chip on his shoulder Dude. He needs to win this fight to submit his legacy, to keep going. If he thinks that he's at the level that he's at, you know what I mean. Pantosia's come a long way, but I agree with you that them fiki fights set these two guys apart.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, yeah, those are big man, especially because it was a whole trilogy man. He got to fight and develop and we saw that Improvement between those fights. Do you know what I mean?

Speaker 1:

Definitely and just looking at at Pantosia's last two fights dude, he fought Alex Perez, who hadn't fought him forever, and he just looked like a fish out of war. He, i'm sorry man, he was totally not prepared for what Pantosia was gonna bring Right. And then the fight before that against Brandon Roybal bro, that was a super good fight. A lot of back and forth. Brandon was able to escape, pantosia got to his back. A couple of times. Brandon threatened with some strikes. They're in with a couple of takedowns. I believe I threatened with the sub here there, but Pantosia, dude, once he got to the back It was game over, dude, yeah. So let's look at the odds here. Brandon Moreno coming in as a minus 208 favorite. Pantosia, a plus 161 underdog. The over under on this Vegas is saying this is gonna be under three and a half rounds at plus 128 and they're saying over three and a half rounds at minus 163. So they're thinking this might go a little longer than expected. Brandon by KO plus 180. Brandon by submission plus for 840, bro. Brandon by decision plus 168. Draw plus 25 hundred. Pantosia by KO plus 1675. Pantosia by submission plus 330. Pantosia by decision plus 430. Will the fight go the distance? plus 112 Minus 136. No, fonzo, you got 400 left. How you doing what you're gonna do with this? Oh?

Speaker 2:

Man, okay, the safe bet Brandon by KO. For me That's a safe bet or decision. Those are two safe bets.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, there's not much of a difference. I mean, what is it like? $12 difference.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, yeah, and I know like I'm gonna contradict myself here, because I said that Brandon isn't gonna submit Pantosia. Oh, but that plus 840 Is calling my name. He's got some subs and It's gonna be difficult to catch him, but I'm gonna go. Brandon submission Oh, 200 fire bro.

Speaker 1:

I like 200 bucks 200 Brandon by sub at plus 840. Dude, if you just hit this one, you're gonna win the whole shit. That's it.

Speaker 2:

That's how unlike that's how unlikely it is.

Speaker 1:

To do something that I don't want to do.

Speaker 2:

Here Are you gonna go Pantosia, i almost got you, bro. Hey, if I win the, if I win the other one, the, It is one, oh China's.

Speaker 1:

Oh yeah, that's that's gonna help you out 200 bucks. Oh yeah yeah, you're right on that one. Oh man, you're fucking me over here. Bonzo, you're really sticking it to me. Oh Gosh, let me see, i got a plane, man. You know what? I see your, i see your submission. I Don't think Pantosia is gonna be able to KO Brandon. I think that his stand-up has just gotten so much better. I think that in any realm, that's where the gap has been closed the most. Right. I think he's moved to his last. Couple of camps have helped him out tremendously. And and I'm with you on this one, dude, i'm gonna stick with you. I'm gonna go 300 Brandon by KO because I feel like he wants to make a statement, dude, and he needs to. he's got two losses to this dude And you know that's been weighing on him for a long-ass time, dude. And if you know anything about Mexicans, you know that all his boys have been talking the hell of shit to him. Hell of shit to him. Hella hyping him up, hella telling him bro, you got to take this dude out, because if you don't, you're a bee and you can't come kicking with us. No more. I don't know, but I bet you they're getting on him, dude. And he's got his boy. How many of his boys are on this card. He's got chaita is on this card. He's got his juice a gilad on this card. He's got ya. Ya on this card. Dude, when you got that many eyes on you and you don't and you want to shine You, i feel like his game is gonna get raised up this this weekend, dude. Yeah, he's gonna do this, i'm gonna go. I'm going. Brandon KO as well 300 300, 300. All right, so that leaves me with 200 bucks left for the last fight. All right, let's go. Main event time dude. The closer we get to this fight, the more pumped up I have been for this.

Speaker 2:

What do you say? Same same dude. Every single day. I get more and more pumped.

Speaker 1:

Every day something comes out that just gives me more pumped up. The other day I saw I mean I and I wish I could play the audio to this, but I think it's gonna be a little too loud Volkanovsky's training footage from IG and it's just a sick ass highlight reel made by Engage. Not sure who they are, but give them a follow. Engag put together a sick ass highlight reel Showing his previous fight, showing his record. Folk has just been the man ever since he arrived into the UFC and as soon as Dana put that strap around his waist, dude, he's been untouchable. He has not been I mean, other than that He a team that Brian Ortega got him in. He has never, i don't think, been in danger at all. Am I right or wrong?

Speaker 2:

I don't know if that's a hundred percent right, man, but it feels a hundred percent right. You know what I mean.

Speaker 1:

Well, we'd be wrong on that, but I I don't remember too many times where he's been in danger. Yeah, yeah, i know, i and I don't either, that's how good this is, and he's taking it on a dude Who, i feel, has just been getting more and more dangerous with each and every fight that he's gotten under his belt.

Speaker 2:

I'm gonna. I'm gonna put a little bit of a pausier man, because when this fight first was announced or like, oh, we're gonna, we're gonna take, yeah, you eat and we're gonna, you know, we're gonna consolidate the belts, and At first I'm like, man, yeah, that sucks. Man, he just won the interim bell, now he's gonna have to fucking relinquish it because, of course, volt You know what I mean and, like you're saying, man, he's been dominant. But the more and more I learn about, yeah, he's trajectory and preparation for these fights, man, the more I think this is gonna be like just a freaking absolute battle. And, yeah, he definitely has the tools and the ways to win too.

Speaker 1:

All right, so here's some crazy footage that I found of Jorge Alonso Vidal talking about yaeeds Training regiment for his last few fight camps.

Speaker 3:

So he's talking about, he goes to elevation of like 12,000 feet in this Mexican temple. Like ceremony sacrifice all he goes to elevation of like 12,000 feet in this Mexican, like Aztec temple. Whether you still like ceremony sacrifice, all this crazy Like you, gotta ask you. I hear where he goes. I've seen the video pictures. He's in there like it's 12,000 feet of nothing up there, that you can't have a phone there, nothing. It's like sacred ground. So he just brings his camp, he locks himself up like eight, ten weeks And I'm not jazzing to you in any way, shape or form, that's all he does and he's been doing that for his last five, six fights and It's pain so much dividends. He's a different guy. You know he's got a good shot, i think, for Boko Noseki the range, the skis, the kicks, the wildness, weird, the elbows. You know creativity and he's like crazy genetic, like with his strength level for wiryness. Very good When I tell you that yae for 45 has like unreal strength, impressive rough. It's just a wiry Freaky, like it's crazy long for the weight.

Speaker 1:

All right. So that was our boy Jorge Mazvedal on the jre podcast, talking about yae And dude. This is gonna be a dangerous, dangerous fight for folk he's being. I mean, every champ's run has to come to an end and This, this is a threat, dude. Yeah, i feel that yae can finish this on the ground And possibly even on the feet. For sure, i think that he's not gonna give a f about throwing kicks and he's gonna throw kicks. And if Voke take catches the kick and takes him down, he doesn't care, because he throws strikes from down. There too, he creates these scrambles Where you're gonna leave something open, you're gonna leave a limb out, he's gonna grab it, he's gonna snag it, or he's gonna throw something to cut, to create some something that's gonna lead to something bad, dude.

Speaker 2:

Yeah, and.

Speaker 1:

I just feel like the body type match up here is bad dude. Long, strong and lanky versus short and compact dude. This is your short guy's worst nightmare Finding against somebody who's got these really long ass limbs dude.

Speaker 2:

It could be, um, but you know Voke's defense. He knows how to get on the inside and throw those overhands Which are always dangerous for taller fighters. Where I think yae has got the advantage is his kicks man. He's got some devastating ass kicks And one of the problems that Voke has that I've been watching a lot of video on it Is he tends to leave himself open and kind of lean into some kicks, and you can't do that with yae, you know what I mean. You can't do that with this guy, um, so he's gonna my. I think What can happen and it's a pretty strong possibility here Is he's gonna lean into one of those head to head kicks and he's gonna get knocked out, dude, that's. That's a very strong possibility here.

Speaker 1:

That is crazy, dude, that that could, that would. I would go nuts. I'll probably go running around the block if I see that shit happen. Yeah, uh, let's go over their records real quick. Just our last three fights Uh, yae, coming off of back-to-back wins, he has that triangle choke over josh emet, before that the tko over brian ortega, but before that, dude, he's got a unanimous decision. Loss to max hollowate, who, voke, has ran circles around one two times already, right. Um, well, maybe not two times already right, because One of those times was actually I'm sorry, they fought three times and the second one was, i don't know. I kind of thought it was it, if not a draw. I thought max won that one Third fight. Both definitely finish that one and shut the door on that trilogy.

Speaker 2:

Yep 100%.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, folks, last three fights He's coming off that loss over islam, mahaka chev Which actually isn't an L really in my eyes because he looked Damn good and if he can survive against islam and that's gonna be, that's a tall task for yai to conquer, bro. If, if, if, islam couldn't sub-voke, if brian ortega couldn't sub-voke, i mean, could it happen? Yeah, definitely could happen. I mean, maybe, like you said, that head kick. and then Vogue is you know punch drunk. He doesn't know what's going on. Yeah, he jumps on a sub. That could happen, that could happen. But I kind of like what you said more more likely than not is the KO for you a year to win. looking at Volkanovsky's last three wins, he's again the loss over Islam, win by unanimous decision over Max Holloway last July for International Fight Week And then before that he fought in April and beat the breaks off of chance on Jung, unfortunately, and the KO round for dude. I'm so torn because I like both of these guys a lot. I like both of these guys a lot And same, same. Let's look at what my bookie says. My bookie has Alexander Vogue as a minus three, 84, heavy favorite. Yeah, you're Rodriguez, plus 275 and the over under. it's pretty. it's pretty. even dude Vegas is saying minus 111 that it's going to go under four and a half rounds and minus 113 that it's going to go over four and a half rounds. So they're basically saying they don't fucking know. Um right Volkanovsky by KO at plus 180, volkanovsky by submission at plus 840, volkanovsky by decision, minus 107. Draw at plus 2500, yair by KO at plus 590, yair by submission at plus 1275, yair by decision at plus 730, and then we'll the fight. Go the distance plus 117, no, minus 104. So you got 200 bucks left, bro. What?

Speaker 2:

you mean. That's bang for my buck, which I also said was pretty darn likely. I'm going Yair by KO to my wrestling, to my 200 bucks.

Speaker 1:

All right, so you're going Yair 200 bucks to win by KO at plus 590. Yeah, all right, all right, um, i like that, but I like that. I like that. Yeah, year by decision as well, dude, i mean, i'm looking, i don't. He's only gone five rounds once. He's gone five rounds twice, three times actually one, and he finished one in the fifth round and the other two were decision wins. Man, just to think that vote can get finished. I don't, i don't see it, man, uh uh, i can he get close to getting knocked the fuck out for sure, but I just don't see it, dude. I'm going to go Yair by decision because I just see him landing those kicks. Dude, i think he's just going to do too much damage from the top, too much damage from the bottom. I think the judges are definitely going to see who has been creating the damage, who's been pressing the fight, and even though Yair is most likely going to get taken down quite a bit, he's definitely going to be bringing the pain. I got Yair. I'm going to put the rest of my 200 bucks on year to win by decision at plus 700 and 30.

Speaker 2:

Damn you dirty dog.

Speaker 1:

You chat and new, bro, and new and new. But hey, you know what, no matter what dude, this is going to be a sick ass night of fights. I cannot wait. What do we got One more sleep and that's it. Two more.

Speaker 2:

One more. Well, yeah, tomorrow.

Speaker 3:

Yeah.

Speaker 1:

Why you remind me dog.

Speaker 2:

Oh, well, friday. I thought it was Friday, it is what it is.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, oh well. Hey, tomorrow's Friday, though. But you're finishing, me Santa, yeah, man.

Speaker 2:

I just want to say, um, hey, I'm going to be using that That, um, what is that? that verdict app to pick my fights.

Speaker 1:

Let's go, let's do that Yeah.

Speaker 2:

If anybody else wants to jump in on these, on these picks, go ahead and follow us on verdict and want to hear what you guys think, man, just for fun.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, we'll post. We'll post a link on IG if possible. So follow us at IG. At see underscore combat crew Bonzo. Thank you for sharing your comments. Thank you for sharing your knowledge. My bro, everyone out there, may all your parlays hit. May all of us be super duper happy on Sunday when we're going over our results. Until next time, chingosso's combat crew out Who the fuck is that guy? All right, hopefully then we will have a little bit better end results with tomorrow's.